Indiana's 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical voting patterns that favor GOP candidates by wide margins. Incumbent Republican Jefferson Shreve secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary after raising over $2.3 million, while Democratic nominee Cynthia Wirth trails significantly in fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural advantages and limited recent competitive signals. A major national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or sharp shift in turnout among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though current evidence shows few indicators of such movement before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,020 Vol.
92%
民主党
$1,964 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Indiana's 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical voting patterns that favor GOP candidates by wide margins. Incumbent Republican Jefferson Shreve secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary after raising over $2.3 million, while Democratic nominee Cynthia Wirth trails significantly in fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural advantages and limited recent competitive signals. A major national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or sharp shift in turnout among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though current evidence shows few indicators of such movement before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$9,984終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Indiana's 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical voting patterns that favor GOP candidates by wide margins. Incumbent Republican Jefferson Shreve secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary after raising over $2.3 million, while Democratic nominee Cynthia Wirth trails significantly in fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural advantages and limited recent competitive signals. A major national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or sharp shift in turnout among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though current evidence shows few indicators of such movement before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,984終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Indiana's 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical voting patterns that favor GOP candidates by wide margins. Incumbent Republican Jefferson Shreve secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary after raising over $2.3 million, while Democratic nominee Cynthia Wirth trails significantly in fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural advantages and limited recent competitive signals. A major national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or sharp shift in turnout among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though current evidence shows few indicators of such movement before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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