Incumbent André Carson secured the Democratic nomination for Indiana's 7th District in the May 2026 primary with 62 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Republican Patrick McAuley in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. The seat covers urban Indianapolis with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and has produced consistent Democratic margins above 65 percent in recent cycles. Carson's established fundraising advantage, name recognition, and the district's voter base have anchored trader consensus near 97 percent for the Democratic nominee. McAuley's limited resources and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce the positioning. A major late-cycle event such as candidate withdrawal, health incident, or unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,726 Vol.
$45,726 Vol.
2026/11/02
アンドレ・カーソン（民主党）
97%
パトリック・マコーリー（共和党）
1%
$45,726 Vol.
$45,726 Vol.
2026/11/02
アンドレ・カーソン（民主党）
$7,947 Vol.
97%
パトリック・マコーリー（共和党）
$37,779 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent André Carson secured the Democratic nomination for Indiana's 7th District in the May 2026 primary with 62 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Republican Patrick McAuley in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. The seat covers urban Indianapolis with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and has produced consistent Democratic margins above 65 percent in recent cycles. Carson's established fundraising advantage, name recognition, and the district's voter base have anchored trader consensus near 97 percent for the Democratic nominee. McAuley's limited resources and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce the positioning. A major late-cycle event such as candidate withdrawal, health incident, or unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$45,726終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent André Carson secured the Democratic nomination for Indiana's 7th District in the May 2026 primary with 62 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Republican Patrick McAuley in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. The seat covers urban Indianapolis with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and has produced consistent Democratic margins above 65 percent in recent cycles. Carson's established fundraising advantage, name recognition, and the district's voter base have anchored trader consensus near 97 percent for the Democratic nominee. McAuley's limited resources and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce the positioning. A major late-cycle event such as candidate withdrawal, health incident, or unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,726終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent André Carson secured the Democratic nomination for Indiana's 7th District in the May 2026 primary with 62 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Republican Patrick McAuley in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. The seat covers urban Indianapolis with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and has produced consistent Democratic margins above 65 percent in recent cycles. Carson's established fundraising advantage, name recognition, and the district's voter base have anchored trader consensus near 97 percent for the Democratic nominee. McAuley's limited resources and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce the positioning. A major late-cycle event such as candidate withdrawal, health incident, or unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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