Republican incumbent Rudy Yakym faces Democrat Jamee Decio in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. Yakym, who secured 62.7% in 2024 and ran unopposed in the Republican primary, benefits from the district’s R+14 partisan lean, covering Republican-leaning areas of north-central Indiana including Elkhart and Warsaw. Decio won her primary decisively in May but enters a race rated Solidly Republican by major forecasters. The 93.5% Republican market price reflects this structural advantage, incumbency, and limited national headwinds favoring a Democratic takeover of the seat. A major scandal, health event for Yakym, or unusually strong Democratic midterm wave could narrow the margin, though current conditions show few catalysts for such a shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,582 Vol.
94%
民主党
$2,079 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Rudy Yakym faces Democrat Jamee Decio in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. Yakym, who secured 62.7% in 2024 and ran unopposed in the Republican primary, benefits from the district’s R+14 partisan lean, covering Republican-leaning areas of north-central Indiana including Elkhart and Warsaw. Decio won her primary decisively in May but enters a race rated Solidly Republican by major forecasters. The 93.5% Republican market price reflects this structural advantage, incumbency, and limited national headwinds favoring a Democratic takeover of the seat. A major scandal, health event for Yakym, or unusually strong Democratic midterm wave could narrow the margin, though current conditions show few catalysts for such a shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$4,661終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Rudy Yakym faces Democrat Jamee Decio in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. Yakym, who secured 62.7% in 2024 and ran unopposed in the Republican primary, benefits from the district’s R+14 partisan lean, covering Republican-leaning areas of north-central Indiana including Elkhart and Warsaw. Decio won her primary decisively in May but enters a race rated Solidly Republican by major forecasters. The 93.5% Republican market price reflects this structural advantage, incumbency, and limited national headwinds favoring a Democratic takeover of the seat. A major scandal, health event for Yakym, or unusually strong Democratic midterm wave could narrow the margin, though current conditions show few catalysts for such a shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,661終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Rudy Yakym faces Democrat Jamee Decio in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. Yakym, who secured 62.7% in 2024 and ran unopposed in the Republican primary, benefits from the district’s R+14 partisan lean, covering Republican-leaning areas of north-central Indiana including Elkhart and Warsaw. Decio won her primary decisively in May but enters a race rated Solidly Republican by major forecasters. The 93.5% Republican market price reflects this structural advantage, incumbency, and limited national headwinds favoring a Democratic takeover of the seat. A major scandal, health event for Yakym, or unusually strong Democratic midterm wave could narrow the margin, though current conditions show few catalysts for such a shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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