Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, facing only token opposition in the solidly Republican northeast Indiana district anchored by Fort Wayne. The seat's consistent GOP performance, including a 65 percent victory margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong advantage heading into November. Democratic nominee Kelly Thompson, who advanced unopposed, lacks the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this low-turnout environment. Potential shifts could stem from an unexpected national political wave, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unforeseen redistricting changes, though none appear imminent based on current conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,608 Vol.
93%
民主党
$3,854 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, facing only token opposition in the solidly Republican northeast Indiana district anchored by Fort Wayne. The seat's consistent GOP performance, including a 65 percent victory margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong advantage heading into November. Democratic nominee Kelly Thompson, who advanced unopposed, lacks the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this low-turnout environment. Potential shifts could stem from an unexpected national political wave, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unforeseen redistricting changes, though none appear imminent based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$6,462終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, facing only token opposition in the solidly Republican northeast Indiana district anchored by Fort Wayne. The seat's consistent GOP performance, including a 65 percent victory margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong advantage heading into November. Democratic nominee Kelly Thompson, who advanced unopposed, lacks the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this low-turnout environment. Potential shifts could stem from an unexpected national political wave, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unforeseen redistricting changes, though none appear imminent based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,462終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, facing only token opposition in the solidly Republican northeast Indiana district anchored by Fort Wayne. The seat's consistent GOP performance, including a 65 percent victory margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong advantage heading into November. Democratic nominee Kelly Thompson, who advanced unopposed, lacks the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this low-turnout environment. Potential shifts could stem from an unexpected national political wave, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unforeseen redistricting changes, though none appear imminent based on current conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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