Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman secured his party's nomination in the recent primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote, positioning him strongly for the November general election in Indiana's 3rd congressional district. The northeast Indiana seat, anchored by the Fort Wayne area, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16 and has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Stutzman's 65 percent victory in 2024. With Democrat Kelly Thompson advancing unopposed in her primary, the race lacks a high-profile challenger capable of shifting the district's underlying partisan dynamics. Traders price in these structural advantages, reflected in the Republican nominee's dominant position. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would represent the primary paths to narrowing the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,608 Vol.
93%
民主党
$3,854 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman secured his party's nomination in the recent primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote, positioning him strongly for the November general election in Indiana's 3rd congressional district. The northeast Indiana seat, anchored by the Fort Wayne area, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16 and has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Stutzman's 65 percent victory in 2024. With Democrat Kelly Thompson advancing unopposed in her primary, the race lacks a high-profile challenger capable of shifting the district's underlying partisan dynamics. Traders price in these structural advantages, reflected in the Republican nominee's dominant position. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would represent the primary paths to narrowing the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$6,462終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman secured his party's nomination in the recent primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote, positioning him strongly for the November general election in Indiana's 3rd congressional district. The northeast Indiana seat, anchored by the Fort Wayne area, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16 and has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Stutzman's 65 percent victory in 2024. With Democrat Kelly Thompson advancing unopposed in her primary, the race lacks a high-profile challenger capable of shifting the district's underlying partisan dynamics. Traders price in these structural advantages, reflected in the Republican nominee's dominant position. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would represent the primary paths to narrowing the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,462終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman secured his party's nomination in the recent primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote, positioning him strongly for the November general election in Indiana's 3rd congressional district. The northeast Indiana seat, anchored by the Fort Wayne area, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16 and has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Stutzman's 65 percent victory in 2024. With Democrat Kelly Thompson advancing unopposed in her primary, the race lacks a high-profile challenger capable of shifting the district's underlying partisan dynamics. Traders price in these structural advantages, reflected in the Republican nominee's dominant position. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would represent the primary paths to narrowing the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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