Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan holds a commanding lead in the Indiana 1st congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, his established incumbency since 2021, and strong primary performance where he secured over 80 percent of the vote. The district, covering Northwest Indiana including parts of the Chicago metro area, favored Kamala Harris by 6.5 points in 2024, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as likely or safe Democratic. Republican nominee Barb Regnitz, a Porter County commissioner who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as national midterm shifts, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout surges could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
フランク・ムルバン（民主党）
94%
バーブ・レグニッツ（共和党）
2%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
フランク・ムルバン（民主党）
$3,063 Vol.
94%
バーブ・レグニッツ（共和党）
$3,955 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan holds a commanding lead in the Indiana 1st congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, his established incumbency since 2021, and strong primary performance where he secured over 80 percent of the vote. The district, covering Northwest Indiana including parts of the Chicago metro area, favored Kamala Harris by 6.5 points in 2024, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as likely or safe Democratic. Republican nominee Barb Regnitz, a Porter County commissioner who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as national midterm shifts, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout surges could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$7,017終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan holds a commanding lead in the Indiana 1st congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, his established incumbency since 2021, and strong primary performance where he secured over 80 percent of the vote. The district, covering Northwest Indiana including parts of the Chicago metro area, favored Kamala Harris by 6.5 points in 2024, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as likely or safe Democratic. Republican nominee Barb Regnitz, a Porter County commissioner who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as national midterm shifts, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout surges could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,017終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan holds a commanding lead in the Indiana 1st congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, his established incumbency since 2021, and strong primary performance where he secured over 80 percent of the vote. The district, covering Northwest Indiana including parts of the Chicago metro area, favored Kamala Harris by 6.5 points in 2024, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as likely or safe Democratic. Republican nominee Barb Regnitz, a Porter County commissioner who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as national midterm shifts, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout surges could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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