Recent polling averages across the four decisive 2026 Senate contests—Georgia, where Jon Ossoff defends a Democratic seat; the Michigan open seat; North Carolina’s open Republican seat; and Maine, where Susan Collins seeks reelection—show Democrats leading comfortably in Georgia and North Carolina while trailing slightly or tied in Michigan and Maine. These narrow margins and mixed indicators reflect competitive balance driven by candidate recruitment, fundraising edges, state-level turnout patterns, and the broader midterm environment under divided government. Developments that could shift the implied probability include sustained national momentum favoring one party, late-cycle advertising surges, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout surprises among key voting blocs in these battlegrounds, any of which would alter the odds of a Democratic sweep by November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$20,164 Vol.
$20,164 Vol.
はい
$20,164 Vol.
$20,164 Vol.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
マーケット開始日: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling averages across the four decisive 2026 Senate contests—Georgia, where Jon Ossoff defends a Democratic seat; the Michigan open seat; North Carolina’s open Republican seat; and Maine, where Susan Collins seeks reelection—show Democrats leading comfortably in Georgia and North Carolina while trailing slightly or tied in Michigan and Maine. These narrow margins and mixed indicators reflect competitive balance driven by candidate recruitment, fundraising edges, state-level turnout patterns, and the broader midterm environment under divided government. Developments that could shift the implied probability include sustained national momentum favoring one party, late-cycle advertising surges, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout surprises among key voting blocs in these battlegrounds, any of which would alter the odds of a Democratic sweep by November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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