Recent polling in the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Maine, Michigan, and North Carolina—shows narrow or shifting margins that keep a Democratic sweep in balance near even odds. Incumbent Jon Ossoff holds a lead in Georgia while Democratic recruits post advantages in the open North Carolina seat; Maine’s Susan Collins faces a tight race against her challenger, and Michigan remains competitive between established candidates. These outcomes hinge on turnout in battleground states, candidate fundraising, and the broader midterm environment under the current administration. Late-cycle polling shifts, debate performances, or unexpected national developments could alter the probability of all four Democratic victories before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
51% 確率
$20,164 Vol.
$20,164 Vol.
2026/11/02
はい
51% 確率
$20,164 Vol.
$20,164 Vol.
2026/11/02
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Recent polling in the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Maine, Michigan, and North Carolina—shows narrow or shifting margins that keep a Democratic sweep in balance near even odds. Incumbent Jon Ossoff holds a lead in Georgia while Democratic recruits post advantages in the open North Carolina seat; Maine’s Susan Collins faces a tight race against her challenger, and Michigan remains competitive between established candidates. These outcomes hinge on turnout in battleground states, candidate fundraising, and the broader midterm environment under the current administration. Late-cycle polling shifts, debate performances, or unexpected national developments could alter the probability of all four Democratic victories before November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
音量
$20,164終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Recent polling in the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Maine, Michigan, and North Carolina—shows narrow or shifting margins that keep a Democratic sweep in balance near even odds. Incumbent Jon Ossoff holds a lead in Georgia while Democratic recruits post advantages in the open North Carolina seat; Maine’s Susan Collins faces a tight race against her challenger, and Michigan remains competitive between established candidates. These outcomes hinge on turnout in battleground states, candidate fundraising, and the broader midterm environment under the current administration. Late-cycle polling shifts, debate performances, or unexpected national developments could alter the probability of all four Democratic victories before November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
音量
$20,164終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling in the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Maine, Michigan, and North Carolina—shows narrow or shifting margins that keep a Democratic sweep in balance near even odds. Incumbent Jon Ossoff holds a lead in Georgia while Democratic recruits post advantages in the open North Carolina seat; Maine’s Susan Collins faces a tight race against her challenger, and Michigan remains competitive between established candidates. These outcomes hinge on turnout in battleground states, candidate fundraising, and the broader midterm environment under the current administration. Late-cycle polling shifts, debate performances, or unexpected national developments could alter the probability of all four Democratic victories before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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