Mary Peltola’s entry into the race against incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan has driven trader consensus toward her as the frontrunner, supported by multiple Alaska Survey Research polls showing consistent 5- to 7-point leads and record first-quarter fundraising nearly four times Sullivan’s total. Alaska’s August nonpartisan primary and November ranked-choice voting general election introduce strategic complexity that favors Peltola’s statewide profile as the most recent Democrat to win any Alaska contest. The recent qualification of a second Republican named Dan Sullivan for the primary ballot has added potential voter confusion, a factor cited in Sullivan’s accusations of interference, while reinforcing the market’s view of an otherwise competitive contest heading into the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日メアリー・ペルトラ 59%
ダン・サリバン 42%
ダスティン・ダーデン <1%
アン・ディーナー <1%
$335,738 Vol.
$335,738 Vol.
メアリー・ペルトラ
59%
ダン・サリバン
42%
ダスティン・ダーデン
<1%
アン・ディーナー
<1%
リチャード・グレイソン
<1%
メアリー・ペルトラ 59%
ダン・サリバン 42%
ダスティン・ダーデン <1%
アン・ディーナー <1%
$335,738 Vol.
$335,738 Vol.
メアリー・ペルトラ
59%
ダン・サリバン
42%
ダスティン・ダーデン
<1%
アン・ディーナー
<1%
リチャード・グレイソン
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola’s entry into the race against incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan has driven trader consensus toward her as the frontrunner, supported by multiple Alaska Survey Research polls showing consistent 5- to 7-point leads and record first-quarter fundraising nearly four times Sullivan’s total. Alaska’s August nonpartisan primary and November ranked-choice voting general election introduce strategic complexity that favors Peltola’s statewide profile as the most recent Democrat to win any Alaska contest. The recent qualification of a second Republican named Dan Sullivan for the primary ballot has added potential voter confusion, a factor cited in Sullivan’s accusations of interference, while reinforcing the market’s view of an otherwise competitive contest heading into the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問