Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election consistently places Benny Gantz's Blue and White party at roughly 0.8–1.4% support, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, amid widespread defections to parties such as Yashar and Together. Candidate list submissions on September 8 highlighted the party's diminished roster and limited voter base after Gantz's earlier government exit and coalition fractures. Traders' tight clustering around sub-1.25% ranges reflects this sustained weakness against stronger centrist and right-leaning alternatives, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in fragmentation and low likelihood of meaningful gains absent major pre-election shifts like alliances or security developments that could alter turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.75%未満 38%
2〜3.25% 25%
0.75〜1.25％ 23%
1.25〜2% 21%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
0.75%未満
38%
0.75〜1.25％
23%
1.25〜2%
21%
2〜3.25%
25%
3.25％以上
16%
0.75%未満 38%
2〜3.25% 25%
0.75〜1.25％ 23%
1.25〜2% 21%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
0.75%未満
$34 Vol.
38%
0.75〜1.25％
$233 Vol.
23%
1.25〜2%
$15 Vol.
21%
2〜3.25%
$15 Vol.
25%
3.25％以上
$224 Vol.
16%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election consistently places Benny Gantz's Blue and White party at roughly 0.8–1.4% support, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, amid widespread defections to parties such as Yashar and Together. Candidate list submissions on September 8 highlighted the party's diminished roster and limited voter base after Gantz's earlier government exit and coalition fractures. Traders' tight clustering around sub-1.25% ranges reflects this sustained weakness against stronger centrist and right-leaning alternatives, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in fragmentation and low likelihood of meaningful gains absent major pre-election shifts like alliances or security developments that could alter turnout patterns.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
音量
$267終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election consistently places Benny Gantz's Blue and White party at roughly 0.8–1.4% support, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, amid widespread defections to parties such as Yashar and Together. Candidate list submissions on September 8 highlighted the party's diminished roster and limited voter base after Gantz's earlier government exit and coalition fractures. Traders' tight clustering around sub-1.25% ranges reflects this sustained weakness against stronger centrist and right-leaning alternatives, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in fragmentation and low likelihood of meaningful gains absent major pre-election shifts like alliances or security developments that could alter turnout patterns.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
音量
$267終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETRecent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election consistently places Benny Gantz's Blue and White party at roughly 0.8–1.4% support, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, amid widespread defections to parties such as Yashar and Together. Candidate list submissions on September 8 highlighted the party's diminished roster and limited voter base after Gantz's earlier government exit and coalition fractures. Traders' tight clustering around sub-1.25% ranges reflects this sustained weakness against stronger centrist and right-leaning alternatives, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in fragmentation and low likelihood of meaningful gains absent major pre-election shifts like alliances or security developments that could alter turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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