**Unity (also referenced as the Hendel-Zelekha or Reservists-linked list) faces negligible support in the October 27, 2026, Knesset election, with the <0.5% outcome holding the highest trader consensus at 45.5%.** Recent candidate list submissions ahead of the September 8–9 deadline show the party withdrew on September 4, removing it from contention and aligning with polling that places it below the 3.25% electoral threshold or at 0.4–1.3%. This follows earlier low single-digit or sub-threshold readings in August–September surveys amid broader shifts favoring larger opposition lists like Yashar and Together. Traders price the 2%+ bucket next at 26.5%, with 0.5–0.75%, 1–2%, and 0.75–1% ranges clustered around 23%, reflecting residual uncertainty over any late re-entry, merger effects, or vote aggregation before election day. The implied probabilities track the latest verified polling and procedural developments rather than longer-term historical patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.5～0.75％ 38%
2%以上 27%
1～2％ 23%
0.75〜1% 23%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
0.5%未満
46%
0.5～0.75％
38%
0.75〜1%
23%
1～2％
23%
2%以上
27%
0.5～0.75％ 38%
2%以上 27%
1～2％ 23%
0.75〜1% 23%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
0.5%未満
$60 Vol.
46%
0.5～0.75％
$0 Vol.
38%
0.75〜1%
$0 Vol.
23%
1～2％
$0 Vol.
23%
2%以上
$0 Vol.
27%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Unity (also referenced as the Hendel-Zelekha or Reservists-linked list) faces negligible support in the October 27, 2026, Knesset election, with the <0.5% outcome holding the highest trader consensus at 45.5%.**
Recent candidate list submissions ahead of the September 8–9 deadline show the party withdrew on September 4, removing it from contention and aligning with polling that places it below the 3.25% electoral threshold or at 0.4–1.3%. This follows earlier low single-digit or sub-threshold readings in August–September surveys amid broader shifts favoring larger opposition lists like Yashar and Together.
Traders price the 2%+ bucket next at 26.5%, with 0.5–0.75%, 1–2%, and 0.75–1% ranges clustered around 23%, reflecting residual uncertainty over any late re-entry, merger effects, or vote aggregation before election day. The implied probabilities track the latest verified polling and procedural developments rather than longer-term historical patterns.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$60終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Unity (also referenced as the Hendel-Zelekha or Reservists-linked list) faces negligible support in the October 27, 2026, Knesset election, with the <0.5% outcome holding the highest trader consensus at 45.5%.**
Recent candidate list submissions ahead of the September 8–9 deadline show the party withdrew on September 4, removing it from contention and aligning with polling that places it below the 3.25% electoral threshold or at 0.4–1.3%. This follows earlier low single-digit or sub-threshold readings in August–September surveys amid broader shifts favoring larger opposition lists like Yashar and Together.
Traders price the 2%+ bucket next at 26.5%, with 0.5–0.75%, 1–2%, and 0.75–1% ranges clustered around 23%, reflecting residual uncertainty over any late re-entry, merger effects, or vote aggregation before election day. The implied probabilities track the latest verified polling and procedural developments rather than longer-term historical patterns.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
音量
$60終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET**Unity (also referenced as the Hendel-Zelekha or Reservists-linked list) faces negligible support in the October 27, 2026, Knesset election, with the <0.5% outcome holding the highest trader consensus at 45.5%.** Recent candidate list submissions ahead of the September 8–9 deadline show the party withdrew on September 4, removing it from contention and aligning with polling that places it below the 3.25% electoral threshold or at 0.4–1.3%. This follows earlier low single-digit or sub-threshold readings in August–September surveys amid broader shifts favoring larger opposition lists like Yashar and Together. Traders price the 2%+ bucket next at 26.5%, with 0.5–0.75%, 1–2%, and 0.75–1% ranges clustered around 23%, reflecting residual uncertainty over any late re-entry, merger effects, or vote aggregation before election day. The implied probabilities track the latest verified polling and procedural developments rather than longer-term historical patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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