Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces a structurally favorable environment in New York’s 24th congressional district, which carries an R+11 partisan voting index and delivered her 65.7 percent victory in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent performance in rural counties along Lake Ontario and the Finger Lakes. Tenney’s Republican primary was canceled, allowing her automatic advancement, while Democrats will choose between Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum in the June 23 primary ahead of the November general election. No late-breaking developments or polling shifts have altered the district’s baseline Republican advantage. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, assigning the Republican nominee the large majority share of probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
17%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,102 Vol.
84%
民主党
$1,881 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces a structurally favorable environment in New York’s 24th congressional district, which carries an R+11 partisan voting index and delivered her 65.7 percent victory in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent performance in rural counties along Lake Ontario and the Finger Lakes. Tenney’s Republican primary was canceled, allowing her automatic advancement, while Democrats will choose between Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum in the June 23 primary ahead of the November general election. No late-breaking developments or polling shifts have altered the district’s baseline Republican advantage. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, assigning the Republican nominee the large majority share of probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$3,983終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces a structurally favorable environment in New York’s 24th congressional district, which carries an R+11 partisan voting index and delivered her 65.7 percent victory in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent performance in rural counties along Lake Ontario and the Finger Lakes. Tenney’s Republican primary was canceled, allowing her automatic advancement, while Democrats will choose between Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum in the June 23 primary ahead of the November general election. No late-breaking developments or polling shifts have altered the district’s baseline Republican advantage. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, assigning the Republican nominee the large majority share of probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,983終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces a structurally favorable environment in New York’s 24th congressional district, which carries an R+11 partisan voting index and delivered her 65.7 percent victory in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent performance in rural counties along Lake Ontario and the Finger Lakes. Tenney’s Republican primary was canceled, allowing her automatic advancement, while Democrats will choose between Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum in the June 23 primary ahead of the November general election. No late-breaking developments or polling shifts have altered the district’s baseline Republican advantage. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, assigning the Republican nominee the large majority share of probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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