Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman in the November 3, 2026 general election for New York’s 24th congressional district. The seat carries a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent voter patterns that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Tenney advanced automatically after her June 23 primary was canceled, while Ellman secured the Democratic nomination with a clear majority. No recent polls, endorsements, or campaign developments have shifted expectations, leaving the matchup noncompetitive by historical benchmarks for this district. Trader consensus in the market prices reflects this entrenched partisan lean and the structural advantages of incumbency.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
87%
民主党
15%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,549 Vol.
87%
民主党
$3,497 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman in the November 3, 2026 general election for New York’s 24th congressional district. The seat carries a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent voter patterns that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Tenney advanced automatically after her June 23 primary was canceled, while Ellman secured the Democratic nomination with a clear majority. No recent polls, endorsements, or campaign developments have shifted expectations, leaving the matchup noncompetitive by historical benchmarks for this district. Trader consensus in the market prices reflects this entrenched partisan lean and the structural advantages of incumbency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$7,047終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman in the November 3, 2026 general election for New York’s 24th congressional district. The seat carries a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent voter patterns that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Tenney advanced automatically after her June 23 primary was canceled, while Ellman secured the Democratic nomination with a clear majority. No recent polls, endorsements, or campaign developments have shifted expectations, leaving the matchup noncompetitive by historical benchmarks for this district. Trader consensus in the market prices reflects this entrenched partisan lean and the structural advantages of incumbency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,047終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman in the November 3, 2026 general election for New York’s 24th congressional district. The seat carries a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent voter patterns that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Tenney advanced automatically after her June 23 primary was canceled, while Ellman secured the Democratic nomination with a clear majority. No recent polls, endorsements, or campaign developments have shifted expectations, leaving the matchup noncompetitive by historical benchmarks for this district. Trader consensus in the market prices reflects this entrenched partisan lean and the structural advantages of incumbency.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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