Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a strong position in New York's 24th Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting its rural character along Lake Ontario and limited Democratic inroads. The canceled Republican primary allows Tenney to focus resources on the general election, while the Democratic primary on June 23 features Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum with minimal statewide attention. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the race outlook in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
17%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,102 Vol.
84%
民主党
$1,881 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a strong position in New York's 24th Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting its rural character along Lake Ontario and limited Democratic inroads. The canceled Republican primary allows Tenney to focus resources on the general election, while the Democratic primary on June 23 features Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum with minimal statewide attention. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the race outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$3,983終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a strong position in New York's 24th Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting its rural character along Lake Ontario and limited Democratic inroads. The canceled Republican primary allows Tenney to focus resources on the general election, while the Democratic primary on June 23 features Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum with minimal statewide attention. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the race outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,983終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a strong position in New York's 24th Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting its rural character along Lake Ontario and limited Democratic inroads. The canceled Republican primary allows Tenney to focus resources on the general election, while the Democratic primary on June 23 features Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum with minimal statewide attention. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the race outlook in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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