Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces limited opposition in New York’s 24th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat along Lake Ontario that leans R+11 by partisan voting index and delivered her 65.7% victory in 2024. The Republican primary was canceled, allowing Tenney to advance automatically, while Democrats are still narrowing their nominee ahead of the June 23 primary. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s rural composition and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. With the general election still months away on November 3, trader consensus prices in a strong likelihood of continued Republican control absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
17%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,132 Vol.
84%
民主党
$1,881 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces limited opposition in New York’s 24th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat along Lake Ontario that leans R+11 by partisan voting index and delivered her 65.7% victory in 2024. The Republican primary was canceled, allowing Tenney to advance automatically, while Democrats are still narrowing their nominee ahead of the June 23 primary. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s rural composition and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. With the general election still months away on November 3, trader consensus prices in a strong likelihood of continued Republican control absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$4,013終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces limited opposition in New York’s 24th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat along Lake Ontario that leans R+11 by partisan voting index and delivered her 65.7% victory in 2024. The Republican primary was canceled, allowing Tenney to advance automatically, while Democrats are still narrowing their nominee ahead of the June 23 primary. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s rural composition and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. With the general election still months away on November 3, trader consensus prices in a strong likelihood of continued Republican control absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,013終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces limited opposition in New York’s 24th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat along Lake Ontario that leans R+11 by partisan voting index and delivered her 65.7% victory in 2024. The Republican primary was canceled, allowing Tenney to advance automatically, while Democrats are still narrowing their nominee ahead of the June 23 primary. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s rural composition and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. With the general election still months away on November 3, trader consensus prices in a strong likelihood of continued Republican control absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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