Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, rated solidly Republican by forecasters, and his unopposed primary victory. The Southern Tier and parts of Western New York have delivered double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by Langworthy's established fundraising edge exceeding $2 million and voter familiarity. Aaron Gies, the Democratic nominee following his June primary win, faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited recent competitiveness. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these baseline factors while leaving room for late shifts from national economic conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected developments before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,297 Vol.
$32,297 Vol.
2026/11/03
ニック・ラングワーシー（共和党）
95%
アーロン・ギース（民主党）
4%
$32,297 Vol.
$32,297 Vol.
2026/11/03
ニック・ラングワーシー（共和党）
$16,797 Vol.
95%
アーロン・ギース（民主党）
$15,500 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, rated solidly Republican by forecasters, and his unopposed primary victory. The Southern Tier and parts of Western New York have delivered double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by Langworthy's established fundraising edge exceeding $2 million and voter familiarity. Aaron Gies, the Democratic nominee following his June primary win, faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited recent competitiveness. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these baseline factors while leaving room for late shifts from national economic conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$32,297終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, rated solidly Republican by forecasters, and his unopposed primary victory. The Southern Tier and parts of Western New York have delivered double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by Langworthy's established fundraising edge exceeding $2 million and voter familiarity. Aaron Gies, the Democratic nominee following his June primary win, faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited recent competitiveness. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these baseline factors while leaving room for late shifts from national economic conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$32,297終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, rated solidly Republican by forecasters, and his unopposed primary victory. The Southern Tier and parts of Western New York have delivered double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by Langworthy's established fundraising edge exceeding $2 million and voter familiarity. Aaron Gies, the Democratic nominee following his June primary win, faces structural headwinds in a seat with limited recent competitiveness. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these baseline factors while leaving room for late shifts from national economic conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected developments before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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