The special election for Yokohama mayor, triggered by former mayor Takeharu Yamanaka’s August 2026 resignation after a third-party report confirmed multiple power harassment incidents against city staff, features a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 announcement and October 18 vote. Atsumi Harasawa, the LDP-recommended lawyer emphasizing compliance and municipal reform, holds the highest implied probability among declared contenders, while Kazuma Nakatani (CDP-supported former lawmaker focused on anti-casino measures and disaster preparedness), Yuka Asaka (JCP candidate prioritizing welfare and base issues), and Atsushi Fukuyama (Sanseito-backed executive) trail with lower trader pricing. The tight positioning reflects multiple viable independents, limited polling data this early, and uncertainty over turnout and any late endorsements or positioning shifts in the brief campaign window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日原沢敦美 52%
浅香由加 24%
中谷一馬 15%
福山敦 11%

原沢敦美
52%

浅香由加
24%

中谷一馬
15%

福山敦
11%
原沢敦美 52%
浅香由加 24%
中谷一馬 15%
福山敦 11%

原沢敦美
52%

浅香由加
24%

中谷一馬
15%

福山敦
11%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).
マーケット開始日: Sep 23, 2026, 10:08 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).
リゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...The special election for Yokohama mayor, triggered by former mayor Takeharu Yamanaka’s August 2026 resignation after a third-party report confirmed multiple power harassment incidents against city staff, features a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 announcement and October 18 vote. Atsumi Harasawa, the LDP-recommended lawyer emphasizing compliance and municipal reform, holds the highest implied probability among declared contenders, while Kazuma Nakatani (CDP-supported former lawmaker focused on anti-casino measures and disaster preparedness), Yuka Asaka (JCP candidate prioritizing welfare and base issues), and Atsushi Fukuyama (Sanseito-backed executive) trail with lower trader pricing. The tight positioning reflects multiple viable independents, limited polling data this early, and uncertainty over turnout and any late endorsements or positioning shifts in the brief campaign window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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