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icon for 北部Nalšia地区補欠選挙の勝者

北部Nalšia地区補欠選挙の勝者

icon for 北部Nalšia地区補欠選挙の勝者

北部Nalšia地区補欠選挙の勝者

ギンタウタス・キンドゥリス 54%

ウラジスラフ・コンドラトヴィチ 27%

ヴィクトル・ヴォロニン 25%

Mėta Palauskaitė 25%

Polymarket
新規

ギンタウタス・キンドゥリス 54%

ウラジスラフ・コンドラトヴィチ 27%

ヴィクトル・ヴォロニン 25%

Mėta Palauskaitė 25%

Polymarket
新規
icon for ギンタウタス・キンドゥリス

ギンタウタス・キンドゥリス

$64 Vol.

54%

icon for ウラジスラフ・コンドラトヴィチ

ウラジスラフ・コンドラトヴィチ

$205 Vol.

27%

icon for ヴィクトル・ヴォロニン

ヴィクトル・ヴォロニン

$64 Vol.

25%

icon for Mėta Palauskaitė

Mėta Palauskaitė

$64 Vol.

25%

icon for ダリア・シュトラウパイテ

ダリア・シュトラウパイテ

$64 Vol.

21%

icon for ニコラユス・レベデヴィチウス

ニコラユス・レベデヴィチウス

$64 Vol.

15%

icon for マクシマス・パウクシュテ

マクシマス・パウクシュテ

$64 Vol.

14%

icon for Antanas Šakalis

Antanas Šakalis

$64 Vol.

13%

icon for イグノタス・アドマヴィチウス

イグノタス・アドマヴィチウス

$64 Vol.

11%

icon for アンドレイ・シルディヤエフ

アンドレイ・シルディヤエフ

$64 Vol.

8%

icon for Giedrius Dainys

Giedrius Dainys

$39 Vol.

7%

An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).Gintautas Kindurys holds the leading trader consensus in the Northern Nalšia district by-election set for 8 November 2026, following the death of incumbent Liberal MP Jevgenij Šuklin. The multi-candidate field, featuring representatives from the Farmers and Greens Union, Social Democrats, Dawn of Nemunas, Regions Party, and others, fragments support and sustains tight implied probabilities among frontrunners. Kindurys benefits from prior strong showings in the constituency and established local networks, while challengers draw on party machinery and regional voter bases in Ignalina and Visaginas areas. Limited recent polling or major endorsements leaves room for shifts from candidate debates, turnout patterns, or late alliances before the first round.

An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.

If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
音量
$820
終了日
2026/11/08
マーケット開始日
Sep 23, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47de9d...
An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).Gintautas Kindurys holds the leading trader consensus in the Northern Nalšia district by-election set for 8 November 2026, following the death of incumbent Liberal MP Jevgenij Šuklin. The multi-candidate field, featuring representatives from the Farmers and Greens Union, Social Democrats, Dawn of Nemunas, Regions Party, and others, fragments support and sustains tight implied probabilities among frontrunners. Kindurys benefits from prior strong showings in the constituency and established local networks, while challengers draw on party machinery and regional voter bases in Ignalina and Visaginas areas. Limited recent polling or major endorsements leaves room for shifts from candidate debates, turnout patterns, or late alliances before the first round.

An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.

If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
音量
$820
終了日
2026/11/08
マーケット開始日
Sep 23, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47de9d...

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よくある質問

「北部Nalšia地区補欠選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ギンタウタス・キンドゥリス」で74%、次いで「ヴィクトル・ヴォロニン」が49%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、74¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に74%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「北部Nalšia地区補欠選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 23, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「北部Nalšia地区補欠選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「北部Nalšia地区補欠選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ギンタウタス・キンドゥリス」で74%であり、市場がこの結果に74%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ヴィクトル・ヴォロニン」で49%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「北部Nalšia地区補欠選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。