Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver holds a modest lead in recent decided-voter polling for the October 17, 2026, mayoral election, yet trader consensus remains tight because a crowded field of declared candidates—including Green councillor Pete Fry and Vancouver Liberals’ Kareem Allam—continues to split opposition support while undecided voters hover between 26 and 34 percent. Housing affordability, public safety, and development policy remain central campaign themes, with no single challenger yet consolidating progressive or centrist votes. Late-campaign developments such as candidate withdrawals, cross-endorsements, major policy announcements, or shifts in turnout among key neighborhoods could rapidly consolidate support and widen the gap ahead of election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ケン・シム 37%
ピート・フライ 28.8%
カリーム・アラム 14%
ウィリアム・アザロフ 5.3%
$176,606 Vol.
$176,606 Vol.
ケン・シム
37%
ピート・フライ
29%
カリーム・アラム
14%
ウィリアム・アザロフ
5%
コリーン・ハードウィック
3%
カーク・ラポイント
2%
ジョン・カウパー
1%
ショーン・オール
1%
アマンダ・バローズ
1%
レベッカ・ブライ
1%
ステファニー・アレン
1%
ティム・ルイス
<1%
フレッド・ハーディング
<1%
ケン・シム 37%
ピート・フライ 28.8%
カリーム・アラム 14%
ウィリアム・アザロフ 5.3%
$176,606 Vol.
$176,606 Vol.
ケン・シム
37%
ピート・フライ
29%
カリーム・アラム
14%
ウィリアム・アザロフ
5%
コリーン・ハードウィック
3%
カーク・ラポイント
2%
ジョン・カウパー
1%
ショーン・オール
1%
アマンダ・バローズ
1%
レベッカ・ブライ
1%
ステファニー・アレン
1%
ティム・ルイス
<1%
フレッド・ハーディング
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver holds a modest lead in recent decided-voter polling for the October 17, 2026, mayoral election, yet trader consensus remains tight because a crowded field of declared candidates—including Green councillor Pete Fry and Vancouver Liberals’ Kareem Allam—continues to split opposition support while undecided voters hover between 26 and 34 percent. Housing affordability, public safety, and development policy remain central campaign themes, with no single challenger yet consolidating progressive or centrist votes. Late-campaign developments such as candidate withdrawals, cross-endorsements, major policy announcements, or shifts in turnout among key neighborhoods could rapidly consolidate support and widen the gap ahead of election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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