Texas's 30th congressional district, centered in urban Dallas with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook PVI rating around D+25, features majority Black and Hispanic voters who have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in presidential and House races over multiple cycles. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination with over 70% in the March 2026 primary. Republican Everett Jackson advanced through his party's primary and runoff, yet faces structural headwinds in a district where recent statewide Democratic performance has exceeded 70% in key races. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic Party captures this entrenched partisan baseline and limited path for Republican gains, though a late-breaking scandal or turnout collapse could theoretically narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$48,299 Vol.
$48,299 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
$48,299 Vol.
$48,299 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$5,579 Vol.
96%
共和党
$42,721 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district, centered in urban Dallas with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook PVI rating around D+25, features majority Black and Hispanic voters who have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in presidential and House races over multiple cycles. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination with over 70% in the March 2026 primary. Republican Everett Jackson advanced through his party's primary and runoff, yet faces structural headwinds in a district where recent statewide Democratic performance has exceeded 70% in key races. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic Party captures this entrenched partisan baseline and limited path for Republican gains, though a late-breaking scandal or turnout collapse could theoretically narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$48,299終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district, centered in urban Dallas with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook PVI rating around D+25, features majority Black and Hispanic voters who have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in presidential and House races over multiple cycles. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination with over 70% in the March 2026 primary. Republican Everett Jackson advanced through his party's primary and runoff, yet faces structural headwinds in a district where recent statewide Democratic performance has exceeded 70% in key races. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic Party captures this entrenched partisan baseline and limited path for Republican gains, though a late-breaking scandal or turnout collapse could theoretically narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$48,299終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 30th congressional district, centered in urban Dallas with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook PVI rating around D+25, features majority Black and Hispanic voters who have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in presidential and House races over multiple cycles. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination with over 70% in the March 2026 primary. Republican Everett Jackson advanced through his party's primary and runoff, yet faces structural headwinds in a district where recent statewide Democratic performance has exceeded 70% in key races. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic Party captures this entrenched partisan baseline and limited path for Republican gains, though a late-breaking scandal or turnout collapse could theoretically narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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