Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the Texas 37th District race due to the district's strong Democratic lean under the post-redistricting map, his incumbency advantage after transitioning from the neighboring seat, and decisive primary victories that cleared the field early. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Lauren Peña, the Republican nominee who prevailed in her May runoff, faces structural headwinds including limited reported fundraising and the district's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually high Republican turnout, late developments affecting voter sentiment, or unforeseen candidate-specific events. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns closely with these fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$44,920 Vol.
$44,920 Vol.
2026/11/02
グレッグ・カサール（民主党）
94%
ローレン・ペーニャ（共和党）
2%
$44,920 Vol.
$44,920 Vol.
2026/11/02
グレッグ・カサール（民主党）
$26,707 Vol.
94%
ローレン・ペーニャ（共和党）
$18,214 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the Texas 37th District race due to the district's strong Democratic lean under the post-redistricting map, his incumbency advantage after transitioning from the neighboring seat, and decisive primary victories that cleared the field early. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Lauren Peña, the Republican nominee who prevailed in her May runoff, faces structural headwinds including limited reported fundraising and the district's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually high Republican turnout, late developments affecting voter sentiment, or unforeseen candidate-specific events. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns closely with these fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$44,920終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the Texas 37th District race due to the district's strong Democratic lean under the post-redistricting map, his incumbency advantage after transitioning from the neighboring seat, and decisive primary victories that cleared the field early. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Lauren Peña, the Republican nominee who prevailed in her May runoff, faces structural headwinds including limited reported fundraising and the district's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually high Republican turnout, late developments affecting voter sentiment, or unforeseen candidate-specific events. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns closely with these fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$44,920終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Greg Casar holds a commanding lead in the Texas 37th District race due to the district's strong Democratic lean under the post-redistricting map, his incumbency advantage after transitioning from the neighboring seat, and decisive primary victories that cleared the field early. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Lauren Peña, the Republican nominee who prevailed in her May runoff, faces structural headwinds including limited reported fundraising and the district's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually high Republican turnout, late developments affecting voter sentiment, or unforeseen candidate-specific events. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns closely with these fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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