The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80 percent of the vote in March, demonstrating consolidated party support following redistricting that prompted Lloyd Doggett's retirement. Republican primary contenders have advanced to a runoff but face structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Upcoming general election dynamics, including turnout among urban and suburban voters and any national midterm shifts, represent the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar safe seats suggest limited volatility absent extraordinary developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,058 Vol.
94%
共和党
$1,300 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80 percent of the vote in March, demonstrating consolidated party support following redistricting that prompted Lloyd Doggett's retirement. Republican primary contenders have advanced to a runoff but face structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Upcoming general election dynamics, including turnout among urban and suburban voters and any national midterm shifts, represent the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar safe seats suggest limited volatility absent extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$7,357終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80 percent of the vote in March, demonstrating consolidated party support following redistricting that prompted Lloyd Doggett's retirement. Republican primary contenders have advanced to a runoff but face structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Upcoming general election dynamics, including turnout among urban and suburban voters and any national midterm shifts, represent the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar safe seats suggest limited volatility absent extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,357終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80 percent of the vote in March, demonstrating consolidated party support following redistricting that prompted Lloyd Doggett's retirement. Republican primary contenders have advanced to a runoff but face structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Upcoming general election dynamics, including turnout among urban and suburban voters and any national midterm shifts, represent the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar safe seats suggest limited volatility absent extraordinary developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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