The heavily Democratic composition of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin and shaped by recent redistricting, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic win at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republican nominee Lauren Peña emerged from a competitive runoff, yet faces structural disadvantages in a seat consistently rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. High Democratic turnout in urban areas and established fundraising edges have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. A national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviations from historical voting patterns in the district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,058 Vol.
94%
共和党
$1,300 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin and shaped by recent redistricting, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic win at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republican nominee Lauren Peña emerged from a competitive runoff, yet faces structural disadvantages in a seat consistently rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. High Democratic turnout in urban areas and established fundraising edges have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. A national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviations from historical voting patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$7,357終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin and shaped by recent redistricting, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic win at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republican nominee Lauren Peña emerged from a competitive runoff, yet faces structural disadvantages in a seat consistently rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. High Democratic turnout in urban areas and established fundraising edges have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. A national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviations from historical voting patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,357終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of Texas's 37th congressional district, centered in Austin and shaped by recent redistricting, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic win at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republican nominee Lauren Peña emerged from a competitive runoff, yet faces structural disadvantages in a seat consistently rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. High Democratic turnout in urban areas and established fundraising edges have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. A national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviations from historical voting patterns in the district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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