The strongly Democratic composition of Texas's 37th congressional district, anchored in Austin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 91 percent. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with more than 80 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Republican contenders Ge'Nell Gary and Lauren Peña advanced to a May runoff amid limited visibility and fundraising. The district's voting history and partisan index reflect consistent Democratic margins well above 60 percent in recent cycles. A November 3, 2026 general election outcome could shift only under rare developments such as a major candidate scandal, significant health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave that overcomes the area's structural leanings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,667 Vol.
92%
共和党
$382 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Democratic composition of Texas's 37th congressional district, anchored in Austin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 91 percent. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with more than 80 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Republican contenders Ge'Nell Gary and Lauren Peña advanced to a May runoff amid limited visibility and fundraising. The district's voting history and partisan index reflect consistent Democratic margins well above 60 percent in recent cycles. A November 3, 2026 general election outcome could shift only under rare developments such as a major candidate scandal, significant health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave that overcomes the area's structural leanings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$3,049終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Democratic composition of Texas's 37th congressional district, anchored in Austin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 91 percent. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with more than 80 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Republican contenders Ge'Nell Gary and Lauren Peña advanced to a May runoff amid limited visibility and fundraising. The district's voting history and partisan index reflect consistent Democratic margins well above 60 percent in recent cycles. A November 3, 2026 general election outcome could shift only under rare developments such as a major candidate scandal, significant health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave that overcomes the area's structural leanings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,049終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strongly Democratic composition of Texas's 37th congressional district, anchored in Austin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 91 percent. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with more than 80 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Republican contenders Ge'Nell Gary and Lauren Peña advanced to a May runoff amid limited visibility and fundraising. The district's voting history and partisan index reflect consistent Democratic margins well above 60 percent in recent cycles. A November 3, 2026 general election outcome could shift only under rare developments such as a major candidate scandal, significant health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave that overcomes the area's structural leanings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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