Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat centered in Milwaukee, where the partisan voting index exceeds D+26 and the incumbent Democrat has consistently won general elections by margins above 70 percent. Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004, faces a Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, against limited challengers while Republicans field only two primary candidates ahead of the November 3 general election. This entrenched voter base and lack of competitive opposition underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen redistricting ruling, a late-breaking scandal or health issue affecting the leading Democratic candidate, or an unusually strong Republican national environment capable of lifting even safe seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,045 Vol.
$28,045 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$28,045 Vol.
$28,045 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,837 Vol.
94%
共和党
$19,208 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat centered in Milwaukee, where the partisan voting index exceeds D+26 and the incumbent Democrat has consistently won general elections by margins above 70 percent. Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004, faces a Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, against limited challengers while Republicans field only two primary candidates ahead of the November 3 general election. This entrenched voter base and lack of competitive opposition underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen redistricting ruling, a late-breaking scandal or health issue affecting the leading Democratic candidate, or an unusually strong Republican national environment capable of lifting even safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$28,045終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat centered in Milwaukee, where the partisan voting index exceeds D+26 and the incumbent Democrat has consistently won general elections by margins above 70 percent. Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004, faces a Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, against limited challengers while Republicans field only two primary candidates ahead of the November 3 general election. This entrenched voter base and lack of competitive opposition underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen redistricting ruling, a late-breaking scandal or health issue affecting the leading Democratic candidate, or an unusually strong Republican national environment capable of lifting even safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,045終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat centered in Milwaukee, where the partisan voting index exceeds D+26 and the incumbent Democrat has consistently won general elections by margins above 70 percent. Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004, faces a Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, against limited challengers while Republicans field only two primary candidates ahead of the November 3 general election. This entrenched voter base and lack of competitive opposition underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen redistricting ruling, a late-breaking scandal or health issue affecting the leading Democratic candidate, or an unusually strong Republican national environment capable of lifting even safe seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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