Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who secured 57 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition and benefits from strong fundraising and established constituent ties in the Green Bay and Appleton area. Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented August primary but confronts structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2008. Trader consensus at 92 percent Republican aligns with these fundamentals and historical midterm patterns in similar seats. A significant national Democratic surge, major scandal, or sharp shift in local turnout could narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,206 Vol.
$21,206 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
92%
民主党
9%
$21,206 Vol.
$21,206 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$14,017 Vol.
92%
民主党
$7,189 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who secured 57 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition and benefits from strong fundraising and established constituent ties in the Green Bay and Appleton area. Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented August primary but confronts structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2008. Trader consensus at 92 percent Republican aligns with these fundamentals and historical midterm patterns in similar seats. A significant national Democratic surge, major scandal, or sharp shift in local turnout could narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$21,206終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who secured 57 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition and benefits from strong fundraising and established constituent ties in the Green Bay and Appleton area. Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented August primary but confronts structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2008. Trader consensus at 92 percent Republican aligns with these fundamentals and historical midterm patterns in similar seats. A significant national Democratic surge, major scandal, or sharp shift in local turnout could narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,206終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who secured 57 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition and benefits from strong fundraising and established constituent ties in the Green Bay and Appleton area. Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented August primary but confronts structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2008. Trader consensus at 92 percent Republican aligns with these fundamentals and historical midterm patterns in similar seats. A significant national Democratic surge, major scandal, or sharp shift in local turnout could narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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