Incumbent Republican Tony Wied seeks re-election in Wisconsin's 8th congressional district, which carries an R+8 partisan voting index and holds a Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Wied captured the seat in 2024 with 57.3 percent of the vote. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Rick Crosson, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina deVille, have entered the August 11, 2026 primary—the first contested Democratic contest in the district in nearly two decades—while Wied faces the Republican primary on the same date. These structural factors, combined with early-cycle fundraising and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
77%
民主党
23%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,171 Vol.
77%
民主党
$4,035 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tony Wied seeks re-election in Wisconsin's 8th congressional district, which carries an R+8 partisan voting index and holds a Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Wied captured the seat in 2024 with 57.3 percent of the vote. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Rick Crosson, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina deVille, have entered the August 11, 2026 primary—the first contested Democratic contest in the district in nearly two decades—while Wied faces the Republican primary on the same date. These structural factors, combined with early-cycle fundraising and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$8,206終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tony Wied seeks re-election in Wisconsin's 8th congressional district, which carries an R+8 partisan voting index and holds a Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Wied captured the seat in 2024 with 57.3 percent of the vote. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Rick Crosson, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina deVille, have entered the August 11, 2026 primary—the first contested Democratic contest in the district in nearly two decades—while Wied faces the Republican primary on the same date. These structural factors, combined with early-cycle fundraising and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,206終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tony Wied seeks re-election in Wisconsin's 8th congressional district, which carries an R+8 partisan voting index and holds a Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Wied captured the seat in 2024 with 57.3 percent of the vote. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Rick Crosson, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina deVille, have entered the August 11, 2026 primary—the first contested Democratic contest in the district in nearly two decades—while Wied faces the Republican primary on the same date. These structural factors, combined with early-cycle fundraising and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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