Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, an R+8 seat where he won reelection in 2024 with 61 percent. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Grothman faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Bradley Smith narrowly won his August 11 primary. Early polling showed Grothman leading the Democratic nominee by 22 points, consistent with the district’s partisan voter index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Independent candidates including Mike Thurow may draw some support but have not altered the underlying dynamics. Trader consensus at 91 percent for Republicans reflects these structural advantages, though a major scandal, sharp national shift, or unusually effective independent campaign could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,062 Vol.
$36,062 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
92%
民主党
6%
$36,062 Vol.
$36,062 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$19,672 Vol.
92%
民主党
$16,390 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, an R+8 seat where he won reelection in 2024 with 61 percent. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Grothman faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Bradley Smith narrowly won his August 11 primary. Early polling showed Grothman leading the Democratic nominee by 22 points, consistent with the district’s partisan voter index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Independent candidates including Mike Thurow may draw some support but have not altered the underlying dynamics. Trader consensus at 91 percent for Republicans reflects these structural advantages, though a major scandal, sharp national shift, or unusually effective independent campaign could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$36,062終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, an R+8 seat where he won reelection in 2024 with 61 percent. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Grothman faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Bradley Smith narrowly won his August 11 primary. Early polling showed Grothman leading the Democratic nominee by 22 points, consistent with the district’s partisan voter index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Independent candidates including Mike Thurow may draw some support but have not altered the underlying dynamics. Trader consensus at 91 percent for Republicans reflects these structural advantages, though a major scandal, sharp national shift, or unusually effective independent campaign could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,062終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, an R+8 seat where he won reelection in 2024 with 61 percent. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Grothman faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Bradley Smith narrowly won his August 11 primary. Early polling showed Grothman leading the Democratic nominee by 22 points, consistent with the district’s partisan voter index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Independent candidates including Mike Thurow may draw some support but have not altered the underlying dynamics. Trader consensus at 91 percent for Republicans reflects these structural advantages, though a major scandal, sharp national shift, or unusually effective independent campaign could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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