Scott Fitzgerald, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding 95.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin 5th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, including a 14.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and Fitzgerald’s 64.4% reelection that year. The northern and western Milwaukee suburbs, including Waukesha and Washington counties, have favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Fitzgerald easily won his August 11 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Andrew Beck, a product developer who secured the Democratic nomination. Traders see limited paths for an upset absent a major unforeseen event such as a late scandal, health development, or national political shift that alters turnout in this low-competition general election on November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$59,311 Vol.
$59,311 Vol.
2026/11/02
スコット・フィッツジェラルド（共和党）
96%
アンドリュー・ベック（民主党）
4%
$59,311 Vol.
$59,311 Vol.
2026/11/02
スコット・フィッツジェラルド（共和党）
$32,619 Vol.
96%
アンドリュー・ベック（民主党）
$26,692 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Fitzgerald, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding 95.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin 5th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, including a 14.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and Fitzgerald’s 64.4% reelection that year. The northern and western Milwaukee suburbs, including Waukesha and Washington counties, have favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Fitzgerald easily won his August 11 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Andrew Beck, a product developer who secured the Democratic nomination. Traders see limited paths for an upset absent a major unforeseen event such as a late scandal, health development, or national political shift that alters turnout in this low-competition general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$59,311終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Fitzgerald, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding 95.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin 5th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, including a 14.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and Fitzgerald’s 64.4% reelection that year. The northern and western Milwaukee suburbs, including Waukesha and Washington counties, have favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Fitzgerald easily won his August 11 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Andrew Beck, a product developer who secured the Democratic nomination. Traders see limited paths for an upset absent a major unforeseen event such as a late scandal, health development, or national political shift that alters turnout in this low-competition general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$59,311終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Scott Fitzgerald, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding 95.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin 5th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, including a 14.5-point Trump margin in 2024 and Fitzgerald’s 64.4% reelection that year. The northern and western Milwaukee suburbs, including Waukesha and Washington counties, have favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Fitzgerald easily won his August 11 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Andrew Beck, a product developer who secured the Democratic nomination. Traders see limited paths for an upset absent a major unforeseen event such as a late scandal, health development, or national political shift that alters turnout in this low-competition general election on November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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