Democratic nominee Bob Brooks secured the PA-07 nomination in the May 2026 primary with a plurality over multiple challengers, positioning organized labor and working-class messaging against incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie. The Lehigh Valley district’s mixed suburban and industrial voter base has produced narrow margins in recent cycles, and traders appear to weigh national midterm headwinds for the president’s party alongside Brooks’ primary momentum and fundraising visibility. Mackenzie remains unopposed on the Republican side and continues legislative activity on fraud reform and Medicare measures, yet current implied probabilities indicate limited movement in his favor ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,020 Vol.
$18,020 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
76%
共和党
25%
$18,020 Vol.
$18,020 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
$16,476 Vol.
76%
共和党
$1,544 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Bob Brooks secured the PA-07 nomination in the May 2026 primary with a plurality over multiple challengers, positioning organized labor and working-class messaging against incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie. The Lehigh Valley district’s mixed suburban and industrial voter base has produced narrow margins in recent cycles, and traders appear to weigh national midterm headwinds for the president’s party alongside Brooks’ primary momentum and fundraising visibility. Mackenzie remains unopposed on the Republican side and continues legislative activity on fraud reform and Medicare measures, yet current implied probabilities indicate limited movement in his favor ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
音量
$18,020終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Bob Brooks secured the PA-07 nomination in the May 2026 primary with a plurality over multiple challengers, positioning organized labor and working-class messaging against incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie. The Lehigh Valley district’s mixed suburban and industrial voter base has produced narrow margins in recent cycles, and traders appear to weigh national midterm headwinds for the president’s party alongside Brooks’ primary momentum and fundraising visibility. Mackenzie remains unopposed on the Republican side and continues legislative activity on fraud reform and Medicare measures, yet current implied probabilities indicate limited movement in his favor ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,020終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Bob Brooks secured the PA-07 nomination in the May 2026 primary with a plurality over multiple challengers, positioning organized labor and working-class messaging against incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie. The Lehigh Valley district’s mixed suburban and industrial voter base has produced narrow margins in recent cycles, and traders appear to weigh national midterm headwinds for the president’s party alongside Brooks’ primary momentum and fundraising visibility. Mackenzie remains unopposed on the Republican side and continues legislative activity on fraud reform and Medicare measures, yet current implied probabilities indicate limited movement in his favor ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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