The prolonged medical absence of Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. from Congress and public view since early March 2026 stands as the dominant factor elevating Democratic prospects in this competitive New Jersey district. Kean, who won narrowly in 2024 after redistricting, faces Democrat Rebecca Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot who secured her party’s nomination decisively in the June 2 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting its history of flipping between parties in recent cycles and its mix of suburban and rural voters. Traders appear to weigh Bennett’s unified party support and the incumbent’s extended withdrawal against Kean’s fundraising edge and the district’s modest Republican lean, with the November 3 general election still months away.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
76%
共和党
14%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$485 Vol.
76%
共和党
$3,727 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The prolonged medical absence of Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. from Congress and public view since early March 2026 stands as the dominant factor elevating Democratic prospects in this competitive New Jersey district. Kean, who won narrowly in 2024 after redistricting, faces Democrat Rebecca Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot who secured her party’s nomination decisively in the June 2 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting its history of flipping between parties in recent cycles and its mix of suburban and rural voters. Traders appear to weigh Bennett’s unified party support and the incumbent’s extended withdrawal against Kean’s fundraising edge and the district’s modest Republican lean, with the November 3 general election still months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$4,212終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The prolonged medical absence of Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. from Congress and public view since early March 2026 stands as the dominant factor elevating Democratic prospects in this competitive New Jersey district. Kean, who won narrowly in 2024 after redistricting, faces Democrat Rebecca Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot who secured her party’s nomination decisively in the June 2 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting its history of flipping between parties in recent cycles and its mix of suburban and rural voters. Traders appear to weigh Bennett’s unified party support and the incumbent’s extended withdrawal against Kean’s fundraising edge and the district’s modest Republican lean, with the November 3 general election still months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,212終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The prolonged medical absence of Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. from Congress and public view since early March 2026 stands as the dominant factor elevating Democratic prospects in this competitive New Jersey district. Kean, who won narrowly in 2024 after redistricting, faces Democrat Rebecca Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot who secured her party’s nomination decisively in the June 2 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting its history of flipping between parties in recent cycles and its mix of suburban and rural voters. Traders appear to weigh Bennett’s unified party support and the incumbent’s extended withdrawal against Kean’s fundraising edge and the district’s modest Republican lean, with the November 3 general election still months away.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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