Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Rebecca Bennett leading Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. by narrow but consistent margins in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, a seat that has flipped parties in each of the past two midterms. Bennett’s advantages stem from strong primary performance as a Navy veteran, superior small-dollar fundraising, and a September 17 endorsement flip by the New Jersey firefighters union, which had backed Kean in prior cycles. Kean’s months-long absence from Congress earlier in 2026 due to health issues damaged his favorability and campaign momentum, even after his return. National midterm dynamics, including voter concerns over costs and foreign policy, have further tilted the race toward the Democratic nominee according to multiple nonpartisan ratings. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring Bennett.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,027 Vol.
$22,027 Vol.
2026/11/03
レベッカ・ベネット（民主党）
84%
トーマス・キーン・ジュニア（共和党）
18%
$22,027 Vol.
$22,027 Vol.
2026/11/03
レベッカ・ベネット（民主党）
$6,417 Vol.
84%
トーマス・キーン・ジュニア（共和党）
$15,610 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Rebecca Bennett leading Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. by narrow but consistent margins in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, a seat that has flipped parties in each of the past two midterms. Bennett’s advantages stem from strong primary performance as a Navy veteran, superior small-dollar fundraising, and a September 17 endorsement flip by the New Jersey firefighters union, which had backed Kean in prior cycles. Kean’s months-long absence from Congress earlier in 2026 due to health issues damaged his favorability and campaign momentum, even after his return. National midterm dynamics, including voter concerns over costs and foreign policy, have further tilted the race toward the Democratic nominee according to multiple nonpartisan ratings. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring Bennett.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$22,027終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Rebecca Bennett leading Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. by narrow but consistent margins in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, a seat that has flipped parties in each of the past two midterms. Bennett’s advantages stem from strong primary performance as a Navy veteran, superior small-dollar fundraising, and a September 17 endorsement flip by the New Jersey firefighters union, which had backed Kean in prior cycles. Kean’s months-long absence from Congress earlier in 2026 due to health issues damaged his favorability and campaign momentum, even after his return. National midterm dynamics, including voter concerns over costs and foreign policy, have further tilted the race toward the Democratic nominee according to multiple nonpartisan ratings. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring Bennett.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,027終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Rebecca Bennett leading Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. by narrow but consistent margins in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, a seat that has flipped parties in each of the past two midterms. Bennett’s advantages stem from strong primary performance as a Navy veteran, superior small-dollar fundraising, and a September 17 endorsement flip by the New Jersey firefighters union, which had backed Kean in prior cycles. Kean’s months-long absence from Congress earlier in 2026 due to health issues damaged his favorability and campaign momentum, even after his return. National midterm dynamics, including voter concerns over costs and foreign policy, have further tilted the race toward the Democratic nominee according to multiple nonpartisan ratings. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring Bennett.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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