NY-07 is an overwhelmingly Democratic district encompassing parts of Brooklyn and Queens with a strong partisan lean exceeding D+25. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s decision not to seek re-election in 2026 has triggered a competitive Democratic primary on June 23, but the winner is expected to prevail decisively in the November general election against a minimal Republican challenge. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district’s consistent election results, limited GOP infrastructure, and absence of recent developments that would alter its fundamental partisan character. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unusually weak or scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, a national political realignment favoring Republicans in the 2026 midterms, or unexpected turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable based on historical patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,285 Vol.
$22,285 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$22,285 Vol.
$22,285 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,501 Vol.
94%
共和党
$10,784 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07 is an overwhelmingly Democratic district encompassing parts of Brooklyn and Queens with a strong partisan lean exceeding D+25. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s decision not to seek re-election in 2026 has triggered a competitive Democratic primary on June 23, but the winner is expected to prevail decisively in the November general election against a minimal Republican challenge. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district’s consistent election results, limited GOP infrastructure, and absence of recent developments that would alter its fundamental partisan character. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unusually weak or scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, a national political realignment favoring Republicans in the 2026 midterms, or unexpected turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable based on historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$22,285終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07 is an overwhelmingly Democratic district encompassing parts of Brooklyn and Queens with a strong partisan lean exceeding D+25. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s decision not to seek re-election in 2026 has triggered a competitive Democratic primary on June 23, but the winner is expected to prevail decisively in the November general election against a minimal Republican challenge. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district’s consistent election results, limited GOP infrastructure, and absence of recent developments that would alter its fundamental partisan character. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unusually weak or scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, a national political realignment favoring Republicans in the 2026 midterms, or unexpected turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable based on historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,285終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-07 is an overwhelmingly Democratic district encompassing parts of Brooklyn and Queens with a strong partisan lean exceeding D+25. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s decision not to seek re-election in 2026 has triggered a competitive Democratic primary on June 23, but the winner is expected to prevail decisively in the November general election against a minimal Republican challenge. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district’s consistent election results, limited GOP infrastructure, and absence of recent developments that would alter its fundamental partisan character. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unusually weak or scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, a national political realignment favoring Republicans in the 2026 midterms, or unexpected turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable based on historical patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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