**Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market for Quebec’s next premier because his Parti Québécois has held a consistent polling advantage ahead of the October 5, 2026 election, with recent surveys placing the party near 29 percent and ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec.** Seat projections from models such as 338Canada give the PQ an 80-plus percent chance of winning the most seats, reflecting strong francophone support and gains in multiple regions despite uncertainty over a majority. Christine Fréchette, who became CAQ leader and premier in April 2026, trails as the incumbent party contends with voter fatigue after years in power and faces questions over its “autonomiste” stance amid U.S. tariffs. Charles Milliard’s Liberals sit further back, while smaller parties including Québec solidaire and the Conservatives register minimal probabilities. Recent campaign developments, including debate over referendum timing and costs, have reinforced rather than altered the PQ’s frontrunner position in trader assessments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ポール・サン＝ピエール・プラモンドン 76%
クリスティーヌ・フレシェット 19.6%
シャルル・ミリヤール 3.8%
ベルナール・ドランヴィル <1%
$320,774 Vol.
$320,774 Vol.
ポール・サン＝ピエール・プラモンドン
76%
クリスティーヌ・フレシェット
20%
シャルル・ミリヤール
4%
ベルナール・ドランヴィル
<1%
エリック・デュエーム
<1%
ルバ・ガザル
<1%
ソル・ザネッティ
<1%
ポール・サン＝ピエール・プラモンドン 76%
クリスティーヌ・フレシェット 19.6%
シャルル・ミリヤール 3.8%
ベルナール・ドランヴィル <1%
$320,774 Vol.
$320,774 Vol.
ポール・サン＝ピエール・プラモンドン
76%
クリスティーヌ・フレシェット
20%
シャルル・ミリヤール
4%
ベルナール・ドランヴィル
<1%
エリック・デュエーム
<1%
ルバ・ガザル
<1%
ソル・ザネッティ
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market for Quebec’s next premier because his Parti Québécois has held a consistent polling advantage ahead of the October 5, 2026 election, with recent surveys placing the party near 29 percent and ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec.** Seat projections from models such as 338Canada give the PQ an 80-plus percent chance of winning the most seats, reflecting strong francophone support and gains in multiple regions despite uncertainty over a majority. Christine Fréchette, who became CAQ leader and premier in April 2026, trails as the incumbent party contends with voter fatigue after years in power and faces questions over its “autonomiste” stance amid U.S. tariffs. Charles Milliard’s Liberals sit further back, while smaller parties including Québec solidaire and the Conservatives register minimal probabilities. Recent campaign developments, including debate over referendum timing and costs, have reinforced rather than altered the PQ’s frontrunner position in trader assessments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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