Florida's 22nd congressional district became an open seat after 2026 redistricting shifted boundaries across Palm Beach and Collier counties, creating an R+4 partisan voting index and a Lean Republican rating from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. Casey Askar won the Republican primary on August 18 with 30.9 percent in a crowded field, while Pia Dandiya secured the Democratic nomination with 68.6 percent. The resulting general election matchup on November 3 features an open contest where Republican messaging on the revised map and national trends supports the 56.5 percent implied probability, though a late August survey showed the candidates tied at 50 percent and outside spending could still influence turnout in this competitive swing district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,334 Vol.
$40,334 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
56%
民主党
42%
$40,334 Vol.
$40,334 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$22,810 Vol.
56%
民主党
$17,525 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 22nd congressional district became an open seat after 2026 redistricting shifted boundaries across Palm Beach and Collier counties, creating an R+4 partisan voting index and a Lean Republican rating from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. Casey Askar won the Republican primary on August 18 with 30.9 percent in a crowded field, while Pia Dandiya secured the Democratic nomination with 68.6 percent. The resulting general election matchup on November 3 features an open contest where Republican messaging on the revised map and national trends supports the 56.5 percent implied probability, though a late August survey showed the candidates tied at 50 percent and outside spending could still influence turnout in this competitive swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$40,334終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 22nd congressional district became an open seat after 2026 redistricting shifted boundaries across Palm Beach and Collier counties, creating an R+4 partisan voting index and a Lean Republican rating from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. Casey Askar won the Republican primary on August 18 with 30.9 percent in a crowded field, while Pia Dandiya secured the Democratic nomination with 68.6 percent. The resulting general election matchup on November 3 features an open contest where Republican messaging on the revised map and national trends supports the 56.5 percent implied probability, though a late August survey showed the candidates tied at 50 percent and outside spending could still influence turnout in this competitive swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,334終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 22nd congressional district became an open seat after 2026 redistricting shifted boundaries across Palm Beach and Collier counties, creating an R+4 partisan voting index and a Lean Republican rating from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. Casey Askar won the Republican primary on August 18 with 30.9 percent in a crowded field, while Pia Dandiya secured the Democratic nomination with 68.6 percent. The resulting general election matchup on November 3 features an open contest where Republican messaging on the revised map and national trends supports the 56.5 percent implied probability, though a late August survey showed the candidates tied at 50 percent and outside spending could still influence turnout in this competitive swing district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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