Florida’s 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 by Gov. Ron DeSantis and the legislature, shifted from a Democratic-leaning seat held by Lois Frankel to a more Republican-tilted open district stretching from northern Broward and Palm Beach counties across to Collier County. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election Lean or Tilt Republican, reflecting the map’s partisan balance and 2024 voting patterns favoring Republicans. Casey Askar won the August 18 Republican primary in a crowded field, while Pia Dandiya secured the Democratic nomination. The current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee aligns with these structural changes and outside ratings, though Democratic fundraising and suburban voter dynamics keep the race within reach for the challenger ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,334 Vol.
$40,334 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
56%
民主党
43%
$40,334 Vol.
$40,334 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$22,810 Vol.
56%
民主党
$17,525 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 by Gov. Ron DeSantis and the legislature, shifted from a Democratic-leaning seat held by Lois Frankel to a more Republican-tilted open district stretching from northern Broward and Palm Beach counties across to Collier County. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election Lean or Tilt Republican, reflecting the map’s partisan balance and 2024 voting patterns favoring Republicans. Casey Askar won the August 18 Republican primary in a crowded field, while Pia Dandiya secured the Democratic nomination. The current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee aligns with these structural changes and outside ratings, though Democratic fundraising and suburban voter dynamics keep the race within reach for the challenger ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$40,334終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 by Gov. Ron DeSantis and the legislature, shifted from a Democratic-leaning seat held by Lois Frankel to a more Republican-tilted open district stretching from northern Broward and Palm Beach counties across to Collier County. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election Lean or Tilt Republican, reflecting the map’s partisan balance and 2024 voting patterns favoring Republicans. Casey Askar won the August 18 Republican primary in a crowded field, while Pia Dandiya secured the Democratic nomination. The current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee aligns with these structural changes and outside ratings, though Democratic fundraising and suburban voter dynamics keep the race within reach for the challenger ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,334終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 by Gov. Ron DeSantis and the legislature, shifted from a Democratic-leaning seat held by Lois Frankel to a more Republican-tilted open district stretching from northern Broward and Palm Beach counties across to Collier County. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election Lean or Tilt Republican, reflecting the map’s partisan balance and 2024 voting patterns favoring Republicans. Casey Askar won the August 18 Republican primary in a crowded field, while Pia Dandiya secured the Democratic nomination. The current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee aligns with these structural changes and outside ratings, though Democratic fundraising and suburban voter dynamics keep the race within reach for the challenger ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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