Florida's 26th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as a solidly Republican seat following April 2026 redistricting approved by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld by court ruling in late May, shifting the map toward a projected statewide 24-4 GOP advantage. Incumbent Representative Mario Diaz-Balart faces minimal primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic primary candidates Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin show limited resources and no competitive general-election challengers have emerged. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Traders' consensus reflects these structural and candidate dynamics ahead of the August primaries and November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,471 Vol.
$29,471 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
82%
民主党
18%
$29,471 Vol.
$29,471 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$13,431 Vol.
82%
民主党
$16,040 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 26th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as a solidly Republican seat following April 2026 redistricting approved by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld by court ruling in late May, shifting the map toward a projected statewide 24-4 GOP advantage. Incumbent Representative Mario Diaz-Balart faces minimal primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic primary candidates Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin show limited resources and no competitive general-election challengers have emerged. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Traders' consensus reflects these structural and candidate dynamics ahead of the August primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$29,471終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 26th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as a solidly Republican seat following April 2026 redistricting approved by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld by court ruling in late May, shifting the map toward a projected statewide 24-4 GOP advantage. Incumbent Representative Mario Diaz-Balart faces minimal primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic primary candidates Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin show limited resources and no competitive general-election challengers have emerged. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Traders' consensus reflects these structural and candidate dynamics ahead of the August primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$29,471終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 26th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as a solidly Republican seat following April 2026 redistricting approved by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld by court ruling in late May, shifting the map toward a projected statewide 24-4 GOP advantage. Incumbent Representative Mario Diaz-Balart faces minimal primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Democratic primary candidates Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin show limited resources and no competitive general-election challengers have emerged. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Traders' consensus reflects these structural and candidate dynamics ahead of the August primaries and November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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