Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds a structural edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball following the state’s April-May 2026 redistricting that preserved an R+6 partisan voting index. Salazar’s 60 percent victory in 2024 and name recognition in South Florida underpin the 70.5 percent Republican outcome priced by traders. A crowded Democratic primary scheduled for August 18 has yet to consolidate behind a single challenger, limiting opposition momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent hypothetical polling shows some Democratic contenders within single digits, yet the district’s underlying lean and incumbent advantages sustain the current market positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,164 Vol.
$13,164 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
71%
民主党
30%
$13,164 Vol.
$13,164 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,658 Vol.
71%
民主党
$7,506 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds a structural edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball following the state’s April-May 2026 redistricting that preserved an R+6 partisan voting index. Salazar’s 60 percent victory in 2024 and name recognition in South Florida underpin the 70.5 percent Republican outcome priced by traders. A crowded Democratic primary scheduled for August 18 has yet to consolidate behind a single challenger, limiting opposition momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent hypothetical polling shows some Democratic contenders within single digits, yet the district’s underlying lean and incumbent advantages sustain the current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$13,164終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds a structural edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball following the state’s April-May 2026 redistricting that preserved an R+6 partisan voting index. Salazar’s 60 percent victory in 2024 and name recognition in South Florida underpin the 70.5 percent Republican outcome priced by traders. A crowded Democratic primary scheduled for August 18 has yet to consolidate behind a single challenger, limiting opposition momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent hypothetical polling shows some Democratic contenders within single digits, yet the district’s underlying lean and incumbent advantages sustain the current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,164終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds a structural edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball following the state’s April-May 2026 redistricting that preserved an R+6 partisan voting index. Salazar’s 60 percent victory in 2024 and name recognition in South Florida underpin the 70.5 percent Republican outcome priced by traders. A crowded Democratic primary scheduled for August 18 has yet to consolidate behind a single challenger, limiting opposition momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent hypothetical polling shows some Democratic contenders within single digits, yet the district’s underlying lean and incumbent advantages sustain the current market positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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