**Democratic incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in the November 3 general election for Florida’s 25th congressional district following his decisive August 18 primary victory over progressive challenger Oliver Larkin.** The redrawn district, which shifted several points toward Republicans after 2024 redistricting and was carried by Donald Trump in the prior cycle, features a competitive electorate with large numbers of independents. Moskowitz’s substantial fundraising, established name recognition across Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties, and moderate positioning have sustained trader confidence despite the altered map. On the Republican side, former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer emerged from a crowded primary but trails in implied probability. National midterm dynamics and candidate quality differences continue to shape the current 68.5%–29.5% market split.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,710 Vol.
$26,710 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
69%
共和党
30%
$26,710 Vol.
$26,710 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$9,102 Vol.
69%
共和党
$17,608 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in the November 3 general election for Florida’s 25th congressional district following his decisive August 18 primary victory over progressive challenger Oliver Larkin.** The redrawn district, which shifted several points toward Republicans after 2024 redistricting and was carried by Donald Trump in the prior cycle, features a competitive electorate with large numbers of independents. Moskowitz’s substantial fundraising, established name recognition across Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties, and moderate positioning have sustained trader confidence despite the altered map. On the Republican side, former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer emerged from a crowded primary but trails in implied probability. National midterm dynamics and candidate quality differences continue to shape the current 68.5%–29.5% market split.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$26,710終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in the November 3 general election for Florida’s 25th congressional district following his decisive August 18 primary victory over progressive challenger Oliver Larkin.** The redrawn district, which shifted several points toward Republicans after 2024 redistricting and was carried by Donald Trump in the prior cycle, features a competitive electorate with large numbers of independents. Moskowitz’s substantial fundraising, established name recognition across Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties, and moderate positioning have sustained trader confidence despite the altered map. On the Republican side, former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer emerged from a crowded primary but trails in implied probability. National midterm dynamics and candidate quality differences continue to shape the current 68.5%–29.5% market split.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,710終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in the November 3 general election for Florida’s 25th congressional district following his decisive August 18 primary victory over progressive challenger Oliver Larkin.** The redrawn district, which shifted several points toward Republicans after 2024 redistricting and was carried by Donald Trump in the prior cycle, features a competitive electorate with large numbers of independents. Moskowitz’s substantial fundraising, established name recognition across Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties, and moderate positioning have sustained trader confidence despite the altered map. On the Republican side, former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer emerged from a crowded primary but trails in implied probability. National midterm dynamics and candidate quality differences continue to shape the current 68.5%–29.5% market split.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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