Jared Moskowitz, the Democratic incumbent, anchors trader expectations for a party hold in Florida’s 25th congressional district after redistricting shifted the seat’s boundaries across Broward, Palm Beach, and Miami-Dade counties. Forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election a toss-up, citing the district’s modest Republican presidential lean offset by Moskowitz’s established fundraising and constituent ties. His late-May announcement of a primary matchup against Oliver Larkin and the August 18 Republican primary featuring Scott Singer and others have not yet produced decisive polling shifts. Traders assign Democrats the 65.5 percent edge primarily on the strength of incumbency advantages in a closely contested race where turnout and candidate consolidation in the coming months could still alter the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,182 Vol.
$18,182 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
66%
共和党
36%
$18,182 Vol.
$18,182 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$4,563 Vol.
66%
共和党
$13,619 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jared Moskowitz, the Democratic incumbent, anchors trader expectations for a party hold in Florida’s 25th congressional district after redistricting shifted the seat’s boundaries across Broward, Palm Beach, and Miami-Dade counties. Forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election a toss-up, citing the district’s modest Republican presidential lean offset by Moskowitz’s established fundraising and constituent ties. His late-May announcement of a primary matchup against Oliver Larkin and the August 18 Republican primary featuring Scott Singer and others have not yet produced decisive polling shifts. Traders assign Democrats the 65.5 percent edge primarily on the strength of incumbency advantages in a closely contested race where turnout and candidate consolidation in the coming months could still alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$18,182終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jared Moskowitz, the Democratic incumbent, anchors trader expectations for a party hold in Florida’s 25th congressional district after redistricting shifted the seat’s boundaries across Broward, Palm Beach, and Miami-Dade counties. Forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election a toss-up, citing the district’s modest Republican presidential lean offset by Moskowitz’s established fundraising and constituent ties. His late-May announcement of a primary matchup against Oliver Larkin and the August 18 Republican primary featuring Scott Singer and others have not yet produced decisive polling shifts. Traders assign Democrats the 65.5 percent edge primarily on the strength of incumbency advantages in a closely contested race where turnout and candidate consolidation in the coming months could still alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,182終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jared Moskowitz, the Democratic incumbent, anchors trader expectations for a party hold in Florida’s 25th congressional district after redistricting shifted the seat’s boundaries across Broward, Palm Beach, and Miami-Dade counties. Forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election a toss-up, citing the district’s modest Republican presidential lean offset by Moskowitz’s established fundraising and constituent ties. His late-May announcement of a primary matchup against Oliver Larkin and the August 18 Republican primary featuring Scott Singer and others have not yet produced decisive polling shifts. Traders assign Democrats the 65.5 percent edge primarily on the strength of incumbency advantages in a closely contested race where turnout and candidate consolidation in the coming months could still alter the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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