**Democratic nominee Jared Moskowitz holds a 67% implied probability in the FL-25 House race against Republican Scott Singer at 32%, reflecting trader assessment of the general-election matchup following the August 18 primaries.** Moskowitz, the incumbent seeking a third term after shifting from the reconfigured 23rd District, defeated progressive challenger Oliver Larkin by a 63.5%-36.5% margin, demonstrating strong support among Democratic primary voters. Singer, the former Boca Raton mayor, emerged from a crowded five-candidate Republican field with 31.4% of the vote. The new district lines, drawn by Republican state lawmakers, incorporate more Republican-leaning areas along the South Florida coast and give the GOP a structural edge based on 2024 presidential results. Despite this, traders appear to weigh Moskowitz’s name recognition, fundraising, and moderate positioning as advantages in what independent ratings classify as a toss-up. No major post-primary developments have shifted the race significantly as of early September, with the November 3 general election still two months away.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,710 Vol.
$26,710 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
68%
共和党
32%
$26,710 Vol.
$26,710 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$9,102 Vol.
68%
共和党
$17,608 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Jared Moskowitz holds a 67% implied probability in the FL-25 House race against Republican Scott Singer at 32%, reflecting trader assessment of the general-election matchup following the August 18 primaries.**
Moskowitz, the incumbent seeking a third term after shifting from the reconfigured 23rd District, defeated progressive challenger Oliver Larkin by a 63.5%-36.5% margin, demonstrating strong support among Democratic primary voters. Singer, the former Boca Raton mayor, emerged from a crowded five-candidate Republican field with 31.4% of the vote. The new district lines, drawn by Republican state lawmakers, incorporate more Republican-leaning areas along the South Florida coast and give the GOP a structural edge based on 2024 presidential results. Despite this, traders appear to weigh Moskowitz’s name recognition, fundraising, and moderate positioning as advantages in what independent ratings classify as a toss-up. No major post-primary developments have shifted the race significantly as of early September, with the November 3 general election still two months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$26,710終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Jared Moskowitz holds a 67% implied probability in the FL-25 House race against Republican Scott Singer at 32%, reflecting trader assessment of the general-election matchup following the August 18 primaries.**
Moskowitz, the incumbent seeking a third term after shifting from the reconfigured 23rd District, defeated progressive challenger Oliver Larkin by a 63.5%-36.5% margin, demonstrating strong support among Democratic primary voters. Singer, the former Boca Raton mayor, emerged from a crowded five-candidate Republican field with 31.4% of the vote. The new district lines, drawn by Republican state lawmakers, incorporate more Republican-leaning areas along the South Florida coast and give the GOP a structural edge based on 2024 presidential results. Despite this, traders appear to weigh Moskowitz’s name recognition, fundraising, and moderate positioning as advantages in what independent ratings classify as a toss-up. No major post-primary developments have shifted the race significantly as of early September, with the November 3 general election still two months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,710終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic nominee Jared Moskowitz holds a 67% implied probability in the FL-25 House race against Republican Scott Singer at 32%, reflecting trader assessment of the general-election matchup following the August 18 primaries.** Moskowitz, the incumbent seeking a third term after shifting from the reconfigured 23rd District, defeated progressive challenger Oliver Larkin by a 63.5%-36.5% margin, demonstrating strong support among Democratic primary voters. Singer, the former Boca Raton mayor, emerged from a crowded five-candidate Republican field with 31.4% of the vote. The new district lines, drawn by Republican state lawmakers, incorporate more Republican-leaning areas along the South Florida coast and give the GOP a structural edge based on 2024 presidential results. Despite this, traders appear to weigh Moskowitz’s name recognition, fundraising, and moderate positioning as advantages in what independent ratings classify as a toss-up. No major post-primary developments have shifted the race significantly as of early September, with the November 3 general election still two months away.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問