The heavily Democratic tilt of Florida's 24th congressional district, rated D+18 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and encompassing urban areas of Miami-Dade and Broward counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s late-May 2026 retirement announcement opened the seat, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field including Shevrin Jones and Oliver Gilbert III ahead of the August 18 contest, while Republican efforts remain limited to a single candidate with minimal visibility. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s consistent partisan performance in prior cycles. A late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, combined with an unforeseen turnout collapse or successful legal challenge to the current map, represents the narrowest paths to altering the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,749 Vol.
$19,749 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$19,749 Vol.
$19,749 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,452 Vol.
95%
共和党
$11,297 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic tilt of Florida's 24th congressional district, rated D+18 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and encompassing urban areas of Miami-Dade and Broward counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s late-May 2026 retirement announcement opened the seat, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field including Shevrin Jones and Oliver Gilbert III ahead of the August 18 contest, while Republican efforts remain limited to a single candidate with minimal visibility. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s consistent partisan performance in prior cycles. A late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, combined with an unforeseen turnout collapse or successful legal challenge to the current map, represents the narrowest paths to altering the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$19,749終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic tilt of Florida's 24th congressional district, rated D+18 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and encompassing urban areas of Miami-Dade and Broward counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s late-May 2026 retirement announcement opened the seat, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field including Shevrin Jones and Oliver Gilbert III ahead of the August 18 contest, while Republican efforts remain limited to a single candidate with minimal visibility. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s consistent partisan performance in prior cycles. A late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, combined with an unforeseen turnout collapse or successful legal challenge to the current map, represents the narrowest paths to altering the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,749終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic tilt of Florida's 24th congressional district, rated D+18 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and encompassing urban areas of Miami-Dade and Broward counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s late-May 2026 retirement announcement opened the seat, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field including Shevrin Jones and Oliver Gilbert III ahead of the August 18 contest, while Republican efforts remain limited to a single candidate with minimal visibility. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s consistent partisan performance in prior cycles. A late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, combined with an unforeseen turnout collapse or successful legal challenge to the current map, represents the narrowest paths to altering the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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