Florida's 24th congressional district has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent House elections, anchored by long-serving incumbent Frederica Wilson and a voter base that favors the party in both presidential and congressional contests. With the 2026 filing deadline approaching in June and primaries set for August, no Republican candidate has emerged with significant name recognition or fundraising momentum to contest the seat. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages, including historical margins exceeding 30 points. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major incumbent-related controversy or an unusually strong Republican primary performer capable of broadening appeal in the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,739 Vol.
$19,739 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$19,739 Vol.
$19,739 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,452 Vol.
95%
共和党
$11,287 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent House elections, anchored by long-serving incumbent Frederica Wilson and a voter base that favors the party in both presidential and congressional contests. With the 2026 filing deadline approaching in June and primaries set for August, no Republican candidate has emerged with significant name recognition or fundraising momentum to contest the seat. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages, including historical margins exceeding 30 points. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major incumbent-related controversy or an unusually strong Republican primary performer capable of broadening appeal in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$19,739終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent House elections, anchored by long-serving incumbent Frederica Wilson and a voter base that favors the party in both presidential and congressional contests. With the 2026 filing deadline approaching in June and primaries set for August, no Republican candidate has emerged with significant name recognition or fundraising momentum to contest the seat. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages, including historical margins exceeding 30 points. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major incumbent-related controversy or an unusually strong Republican primary performer capable of broadening appeal in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,739終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent House elections, anchored by long-serving incumbent Frederica Wilson and a voter base that favors the party in both presidential and congressional contests. With the 2026 filing deadline approaching in June and primaries set for August, no Republican candidate has emerged with significant name recognition or fundraising momentum to contest the seat. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages, including historical margins exceeding 30 points. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major incumbent-related controversy or an unusually strong Republican primary performer capable of broadening appeal in the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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