Troy Downing secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the June 2 primary for Montana’s 2nd Congressional District, while Democrat Brian Miller advanced from a low-turnout contest. The eastern Montana district, encompassing Billings, Great Falls, and Helena, maintains a consistent Republican lean evidenced by double-digit margins in prior cycles and uniform Solid or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Low Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive primary challenges reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths for an upset before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,400 Vol.
$11,400 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$11,400 Vol.
$11,400 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,247 Vol.
92%
民主党
$3,153 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Downing secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the June 2 primary for Montana’s 2nd Congressional District, while Democrat Brian Miller advanced from a low-turnout contest. The eastern Montana district, encompassing Billings, Great Falls, and Helena, maintains a consistent Republican lean evidenced by double-digit margins in prior cycles and uniform Solid or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Low Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive primary challenges reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths for an upset before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$11,400終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Downing secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the June 2 primary for Montana’s 2nd Congressional District, while Democrat Brian Miller advanced from a low-turnout contest. The eastern Montana district, encompassing Billings, Great Falls, and Helena, maintains a consistent Republican lean evidenced by double-digit margins in prior cycles and uniform Solid or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Low Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive primary challenges reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths for an upset before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,400終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Troy Downing secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the June 2 primary for Montana’s 2nd Congressional District, while Democrat Brian Miller advanced from a low-turnout contest. The eastern Montana district, encompassing Billings, Great Falls, and Helena, maintains a consistent Republican lean evidenced by double-digit margins in prior cycles and uniform Solid or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Low Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive primary challenges reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths for an upset before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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