Montana’s 2nd Congressional District remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats nationally, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Troy Downing secured a 32-point victory in 2024, establishing a durable structural edge rooted in the district’s eastern and rural voter base. With the June 2 Republican primary approaching and Democratic candidates showing minimal fundraising and visibility, trader consensus has settled on a strong Republican hold ahead of the November 3 general election. A national political environment unfavorable to Republicans or an unforeseen primary disruption could narrow margins, yet the district’s partisan alignment and historical results limit realistic pathways for a Democratic victory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,400 Vol.
$11,400 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$11,400 Vol.
$11,400 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,247 Vol.
92%
民主党
$3,153 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 2nd Congressional District remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats nationally, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Troy Downing secured a 32-point victory in 2024, establishing a durable structural edge rooted in the district’s eastern and rural voter base. With the June 2 Republican primary approaching and Democratic candidates showing minimal fundraising and visibility, trader consensus has settled on a strong Republican hold ahead of the November 3 general election. A national political environment unfavorable to Republicans or an unforeseen primary disruption could narrow margins, yet the district’s partisan alignment and historical results limit realistic pathways for a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$11,400終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 2nd Congressional District remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats nationally, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Troy Downing secured a 32-point victory in 2024, establishing a durable structural edge rooted in the district’s eastern and rural voter base. With the June 2 Republican primary approaching and Democratic candidates showing minimal fundraising and visibility, trader consensus has settled on a strong Republican hold ahead of the November 3 general election. A national political environment unfavorable to Republicans or an unforeseen primary disruption could narrow margins, yet the district’s partisan alignment and historical results limit realistic pathways for a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,400終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana’s 2nd Congressional District remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats nationally, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Troy Downing secured a 32-point victory in 2024, establishing a durable structural edge rooted in the district’s eastern and rural voter base. With the June 2 Republican primary approaching and Democratic candidates showing minimal fundraising and visibility, trader consensus has settled on a strong Republican hold ahead of the November 3 general election. A national political environment unfavorable to Republicans or an unforeseen primary disruption could narrow margins, yet the district’s partisan alignment and historical results limit realistic pathways for a Democratic victory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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