Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent electoral results. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter, first elected in 2021 and re-elected with over 60% in 2024, faces only a fellow Democrat in the November 3, 2026 nonpartisan primary, with no competitive Republican challengers filed ahead of the August deadline. This structural advantage and absence of viable opposition have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican or independent candidate emerging late, significant redistricting changes before the election, or an unforeseen primary upset that fragments Democratic support in ways that allow a non-Democrat to advance to the December general.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,558 Vol.
$43,558 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
$43,558 Vol.
$43,558 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$23,422 Vol.
93%
共和党
$20,136 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent electoral results. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter, first elected in 2021 and re-elected with over 60% in 2024, faces only a fellow Democrat in the November 3, 2026 nonpartisan primary, with no competitive Republican challengers filed ahead of the August deadline. This structural advantage and absence of viable opposition have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican or independent candidate emerging late, significant redistricting changes before the election, or an unforeseen primary upset that fragments Democratic support in ways that allow a non-Democrat to advance to the December general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$43,558終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent electoral results. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter, first elected in 2021 and re-elected with over 60% in 2024, faces only a fellow Democrat in the November 3, 2026 nonpartisan primary, with no competitive Republican challengers filed ahead of the August deadline. This structural advantage and absence of viable opposition have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican or independent candidate emerging late, significant redistricting changes before the election, or an unforeseen primary upset that fragments Democratic support in ways that allow a non-Democrat to advance to the December general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,558終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent electoral results. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter, first elected in 2021 and re-elected with over 60% in 2024, faces only a fellow Democrat in the November 3, 2026 nonpartisan primary, with no competitive Republican challengers filed ahead of the August deadline. This structural advantage and absence of viable opposition have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican or independent candidate emerging late, significant redistricting changes before the election, or an unforeseen primary upset that fragments Democratic support in ways that allow a non-Democrat to advance to the December general.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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