The LA-02 race reflects Louisiana’s 2nd district strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter, who won reelection with over 60 percent in 2024, faces only intra-party primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 open primary and faces no Republican candidate of note, supporting the 93 percent trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Limited filing activity through mid-2026 and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, successful court-driven redistricting altering the map before the August 2026 filing deadline, or an unusually strong late Republican entrant, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical voting patterns and current candidate fields.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,558 Vol.
$43,558 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
$43,558 Vol.
$43,558 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$23,422 Vol.
93%
共和党
$20,136 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The LA-02 race reflects Louisiana’s 2nd district strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter, who won reelection with over 60 percent in 2024, faces only intra-party primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 open primary and faces no Republican candidate of note, supporting the 93 percent trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Limited filing activity through mid-2026 and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, successful court-driven redistricting altering the map before the August 2026 filing deadline, or an unusually strong late Republican entrant, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical voting patterns and current candidate fields.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$43,558終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The LA-02 race reflects Louisiana’s 2nd district strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter, who won reelection with over 60 percent in 2024, faces only intra-party primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 open primary and faces no Republican candidate of note, supporting the 93 percent trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Limited filing activity through mid-2026 and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, successful court-driven redistricting altering the map before the August 2026 filing deadline, or an unusually strong late Republican entrant, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical voting patterns and current candidate fields.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,558終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The LA-02 race reflects Louisiana’s 2nd district strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter, who won reelection with over 60 percent in 2024, faces only intra-party primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 open primary and faces no Republican candidate of note, supporting the 93 percent trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Limited filing activity through mid-2026 and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, successful court-driven redistricting altering the map before the August 2026 filing deadline, or an unusually strong late Republican entrant, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical voting patterns and current candidate fields.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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