The heavily Democratic lean of Louisiana’s 2nd District, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes with a majority-Black electorate, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic nominee. Incumbent Troy Carter faces only modest primary opposition from Renada Collins ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary under the state’s closed-party system, while no prominent Republican has entered the race. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive GOP candidates reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. A late scandal, health event, or surprise high-profile Republican filing could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability developments at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$60,529 Vol.
$60,529 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
2%
$60,529 Vol.
$60,529 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$34,748 Vol.
95%
共和党
$25,781 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of Louisiana’s 2nd District, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes with a majority-Black electorate, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic nominee. Incumbent Troy Carter faces only modest primary opposition from Renada Collins ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary under the state’s closed-party system, while no prominent Republican has entered the race. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive GOP candidates reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. A late scandal, health event, or surprise high-profile Republican filing could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability developments at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$60,529終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of Louisiana’s 2nd District, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes with a majority-Black electorate, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic nominee. Incumbent Troy Carter faces only modest primary opposition from Renada Collins ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary under the state’s closed-party system, while no prominent Republican has entered the race. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive GOP candidates reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. A late scandal, health event, or surprise high-profile Republican filing could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability developments at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$60,529終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic lean of Louisiana’s 2nd District, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes with a majority-Black electorate, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic nominee. Incumbent Troy Carter faces only modest primary opposition from Renada Collins ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary under the state’s closed-party system, while no prominent Republican has entered the race. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive GOP candidates reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. A late scandal, health event, or surprise high-profile Republican filing could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability developments at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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