Louisiana's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett, with no major developments shifting the competitive landscape since candidate filings opened. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election due to the district's voting history and the incumbent's established position. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the midterm cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,600 Vol.
$37,600 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$37,600 Vol.
$37,600 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$16,105 Vol.
91%
民主党
$21,495 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett, with no major developments shifting the competitive landscape since candidate filings opened. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election due to the district's voting history and the incumbent's established position. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$37,600終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett, with no major developments shifting the competitive landscape since candidate filings opened. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election due to the district's voting history and the incumbent's established position. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,600終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett, with no major developments shifting the competitive landscape since candidate filings opened. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election due to the district's voting history and the incumbent's established position. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the midterm cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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