Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district race due to the seat’s strong partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Scalise’s role as House Majority Leader, extensive fundraising edge exceeding $10 million compared to his Democratic opponent’s under $150,000, and endorsements including from former President Trump reinforce trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3 primary. The district’s suburban New Orleans and South Louisiana voter base has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic viability. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the primary or any December runoff, though current structural and financial factors make such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$52,244 Vol.
$52,244 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
96%
民主党
5%
$52,244 Vol.
$52,244 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$22,399 Vol.
96%
民主党
$29,844 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district race due to the seat’s strong partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Scalise’s role as House Majority Leader, extensive fundraising edge exceeding $10 million compared to his Democratic opponent’s under $150,000, and endorsements including from former President Trump reinforce trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3 primary. The district’s suburban New Orleans and South Louisiana voter base has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic viability. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the primary or any December runoff, though current structural and financial factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$52,244終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district race due to the seat’s strong partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Scalise’s role as House Majority Leader, extensive fundraising edge exceeding $10 million compared to his Democratic opponent’s under $150,000, and endorsements including from former President Trump reinforce trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3 primary. The district’s suburban New Orleans and South Louisiana voter base has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic viability. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the primary or any December runoff, though current structural and financial factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$52,244終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district race due to the seat’s strong partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Scalise’s role as House Majority Leader, extensive fundraising edge exceeding $10 million compared to his Democratic opponent’s under $150,000, and endorsements including from former President Trump reinforce trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3 primary. The district’s suburban New Orleans and South Louisiana voter base has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic viability. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the primary or any December runoff, though current structural and financial factors make such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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