Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise seeks reelection in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district, a seat he has held since 2008 with consistent double-digit margins, including 66.8 percent in 2024. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index, limits Democratic prospects even with Lauren Jewett as the sole major-party challenger. Republican primary opposition from Randall Arrington has not altered trader expectations of Scalise advancing. With the November 3, 2026, general election still months away, the current 90.5 percent Republican consensus aligns with historical patterns in this district. A shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an exceptional national political realignment before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,603 Vol.
$37,603 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$37,603 Vol.
$37,603 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$16,105 Vol.
91%
民主党
$21,498 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise seeks reelection in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district, a seat he has held since 2008 with consistent double-digit margins, including 66.8 percent in 2024. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index, limits Democratic prospects even with Lauren Jewett as the sole major-party challenger. Republican primary opposition from Randall Arrington has not altered trader expectations of Scalise advancing. With the November 3, 2026, general election still months away, the current 90.5 percent Republican consensus aligns with historical patterns in this district. A shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an exceptional national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$37,603終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise seeks reelection in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district, a seat he has held since 2008 with consistent double-digit margins, including 66.8 percent in 2024. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index, limits Democratic prospects even with Lauren Jewett as the sole major-party challenger. Republican primary opposition from Randall Arrington has not altered trader expectations of Scalise advancing. With the November 3, 2026, general election still months away, the current 90.5 percent Republican consensus aligns with historical patterns in this district. A shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an exceptional national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,603終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise seeks reelection in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district, a seat he has held since 2008 with consistent double-digit margins, including 66.8 percent in 2024. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index, limits Democratic prospects even with Lauren Jewett as the sole major-party challenger. Republican primary opposition from Randall Arrington has not altered trader expectations of Scalise advancing. With the November 3, 2026, general election still months away, the current 90.5 percent Republican consensus aligns with historical patterns in this district. A shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an exceptional national political realignment before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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