Redistricting has reshaped Louisiana’s 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, open primary, shifting its partisan balance and positioning Republican candidates to lead the field. The revised map, advanced by state lawmakers following legal challenges under the Voting Rights Act, reduces the Democratic advantage that allowed Cleo Fields to win outright in 2024. With the district now rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, GOP contenders including Larry Davis and Peter Williams hold structural advantages in a jungle primary system where the top two advance if no candidate reaches a majority. Fields remains the Democratic incumbent but faces a narrower path under the new lines, consistent with trader consensus reflecting the altered electoral math and limited recent polling shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$58,204 Vol.
$58,204 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
$58,204 Vol.
$58,204 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$31,593 Vol.
84%
民主党
$26,611 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has reshaped Louisiana’s 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, open primary, shifting its partisan balance and positioning Republican candidates to lead the field. The revised map, advanced by state lawmakers following legal challenges under the Voting Rights Act, reduces the Democratic advantage that allowed Cleo Fields to win outright in 2024. With the district now rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, GOP contenders including Larry Davis and Peter Williams hold structural advantages in a jungle primary system where the top two advance if no candidate reaches a majority. Fields remains the Democratic incumbent but faces a narrower path under the new lines, consistent with trader consensus reflecting the altered electoral math and limited recent polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$58,204終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has reshaped Louisiana’s 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, open primary, shifting its partisan balance and positioning Republican candidates to lead the field. The revised map, advanced by state lawmakers following legal challenges under the Voting Rights Act, reduces the Democratic advantage that allowed Cleo Fields to win outright in 2024. With the district now rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, GOP contenders including Larry Davis and Peter Williams hold structural advantages in a jungle primary system where the top two advance if no candidate reaches a majority. Fields remains the Democratic incumbent but faces a narrower path under the new lines, consistent with trader consensus reflecting the altered electoral math and limited recent polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$58,204終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has reshaped Louisiana’s 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, open primary, shifting its partisan balance and positioning Republican candidates to lead the field. The revised map, advanced by state lawmakers following legal challenges under the Voting Rights Act, reduces the Democratic advantage that allowed Cleo Fields to win outright in 2024. With the district now rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, GOP contenders including Larry Davis and Peter Williams hold structural advantages in a jungle primary system where the top two advance if no candidate reaches a majority. Fields remains the Democratic incumbent but faces a narrower path under the new lines, consistent with trader consensus reflecting the altered electoral math and limited recent polling shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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