Louisiana’s 6th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle under a newly redrawn map approved by the state Senate in May 2026 and advanced by Governor Jeff Landry, which reduces the number of majority-Black districts statewide and shifts LA-06 toward a more Republican-leaning electorate. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, who captured the seat in 2024 under prior court-ordered lines, now faces multiple Republican challengers in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report have moved the race to Solid Republican, reflecting the altered partisan voter index and historical performance in the revised boundaries. Traders assign an 85% implied probability to a Republican winner, consistent with the district’s structural shift and limited recent polling showing competitive but Republican-favored dynamics in a jungle-primary format that could produce an early majority or a December runoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$59,486 Vol.
$59,486 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
85%
民主党
13%
$59,486 Vol.
$59,486 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$31,733 Vol.
85%
民主党
$27,753 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 6th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle under a newly redrawn map approved by the state Senate in May 2026 and advanced by Governor Jeff Landry, which reduces the number of majority-Black districts statewide and shifts LA-06 toward a more Republican-leaning electorate. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, who captured the seat in 2024 under prior court-ordered lines, now faces multiple Republican challengers in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report have moved the race to Solid Republican, reflecting the altered partisan voter index and historical performance in the revised boundaries. Traders assign an 85% implied probability to a Republican winner, consistent with the district’s structural shift and limited recent polling showing competitive but Republican-favored dynamics in a jungle-primary format that could produce an early majority or a December runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$59,486終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 6th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle under a newly redrawn map approved by the state Senate in May 2026 and advanced by Governor Jeff Landry, which reduces the number of majority-Black districts statewide and shifts LA-06 toward a more Republican-leaning electorate. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, who captured the seat in 2024 under prior court-ordered lines, now faces multiple Republican challengers in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report have moved the race to Solid Republican, reflecting the altered partisan voter index and historical performance in the revised boundaries. Traders assign an 85% implied probability to a Republican winner, consistent with the district’s structural shift and limited recent polling showing competitive but Republican-favored dynamics in a jungle-primary format that could produce an early majority or a December runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$59,486終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 6th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle under a newly redrawn map approved by the state Senate in May 2026 and advanced by Governor Jeff Landry, which reduces the number of majority-Black districts statewide and shifts LA-06 toward a more Republican-leaning electorate. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, who captured the seat in 2024 under prior court-ordered lines, now faces multiple Republican challengers in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report have moved the race to Solid Republican, reflecting the altered partisan voter index and historical performance in the revised boundaries. Traders assign an 85% implied probability to a Republican winner, consistent with the district’s structural shift and limited recent polling showing competitive but Republican-favored dynamics in a jungle-primary format that could produce an early majority or a December runoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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