Ramzan Kadyrov’s position as long-serving Chechen head, combined with his July 2026 United Russia nomination and April 2026 public endorsement by Russian President Vladimir Putin, anchors trader consensus near 99 percent ahead of the September 18–20 direct election. Clan endorsements from the Council of Elders, tight coordination among regional security structures, and historical official results exceeding 97 percent in prior direct votes further reinforce expectations of continuity. Three candidates appear on the ballot, including token opposition nominees from A Just Russia and the CPRF, but none have mounted visible campaigns capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a sudden health event, reversal in federal signaling, or an unforeseen succession shift could still alter the outcome before results are certified.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ラムザン・カディロフ 98.8%
アプティ・アラウディノフ <1%
カリッド・ナカエフ <1%
アダム・デリムハノフ <1%
$11,449 Vol.
$11,449 Vol.
ラムザン・カディロフ
99%
アプティ・アラウディノフ
1%
カリッド・ナカエフ
1%
アダム・デリムハノフ
<1%
アフマト・カディロフ
<1%
イスマイル・デニルハーノフ
<1%
アダム・カディロフ
<1%
マゴメド・ダウドフ
<1%
ラムザン・カディロフ 98.8%
アプティ・アラウディノフ <1%
カリッド・ナカエフ <1%
アダム・デリムハノフ <1%
$11,449 Vol.
$11,449 Vol.
ラムザン・カディロフ
99%
アプティ・アラウディノフ
1%
カリッド・ナカエフ
1%
アダム・デリムハノフ
<1%
アフマト・カディロフ
<1%
イスマイル・デニルハーノフ
<1%
アダム・カディロフ
<1%
マゴメド・ダウドフ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Ramzan Kadyrov’s position as long-serving Chechen head, combined with his July 2026 United Russia nomination and April 2026 public endorsement by Russian President Vladimir Putin, anchors trader consensus near 99 percent ahead of the September 18–20 direct election. Clan endorsements from the Council of Elders, tight coordination among regional security structures, and historical official results exceeding 97 percent in prior direct votes further reinforce expectations of continuity. Three candidates appear on the ballot, including token opposition nominees from A Just Russia and the CPRF, but none have mounted visible campaigns capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a sudden health event, reversal in federal signaling, or an unforeseen succession shift could still alter the outcome before results are certified.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問