The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District race due to the district's established R+18 partisan voting index, which has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Trent Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while the Democratic primary produced a nominee facing structural headwinds in a seat long rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Traders reflect this baseline through overwhelming consensus pricing, consistent with historical patterns for similarly situated districts. A major scandal, unexpected health development, or unprecedented national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 2026 general election, though such factors have rarely overcome the district's underlying partisan composition in the modern era.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$106,659 Vol.
$106,659 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
3%
$106,659 Vol.
$106,659 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$77,449 Vol.
95%
民主党
$29,210 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District race due to the district's established R+18 partisan voting index, which has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Trent Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while the Democratic primary produced a nominee facing structural headwinds in a seat long rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Traders reflect this baseline through overwhelming consensus pricing, consistent with historical patterns for similarly situated districts. A major scandal, unexpected health development, or unprecedented national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 2026 general election, though such factors have rarely overcome the district's underlying partisan composition in the modern era.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$106,659終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District race due to the district's established R+18 partisan voting index, which has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Trent Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while the Democratic primary produced a nominee facing structural headwinds in a seat long rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Traders reflect this baseline through overwhelming consensus pricing, consistent with historical patterns for similarly situated districts. A major scandal, unexpected health development, or unprecedented national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 2026 general election, though such factors have rarely overcome the district's underlying partisan composition in the modern era.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$106,659終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District race due to the district's established R+18 partisan voting index, which has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Trent Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while the Democratic primary produced a nominee facing structural headwinds in a seat long rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Traders reflect this baseline through overwhelming consensus pricing, consistent with historical patterns for similarly situated districts. A major scandal, unexpected health development, or unprecedented national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 2026 general election, though such factors have rarely overcome the district's underlying partisan composition in the modern era.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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