Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured unopposed nomination in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district primary on March 10, 2026, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio advanced similarly on the other side. The district carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in longstanding Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ratings of solid or safe Republican territory. Traders price the Republican outcome at 93.5 percent based on this structural advantage plus Guest’s incumbency record since 2019. A Democratic victory would require either an unforeseen national wave shifting voter turnout or a late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent that erodes the established margin. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,904 Vol.
$33,904 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$33,904 Vol.
$33,904 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,585 Vol.
94%
民主党
$25,320 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured unopposed nomination in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district primary on March 10, 2026, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio advanced similarly on the other side. The district carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in longstanding Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ratings of solid or safe Republican territory. Traders price the Republican outcome at 93.5 percent based on this structural advantage plus Guest’s incumbency record since 2019. A Democratic victory would require either an unforeseen national wave shifting voter turnout or a late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent that erodes the established margin. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$33,904終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured unopposed nomination in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district primary on March 10, 2026, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio advanced similarly on the other side. The district carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in longstanding Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ratings of solid or safe Republican territory. Traders price the Republican outcome at 93.5 percent based on this structural advantage plus Guest’s incumbency record since 2019. A Democratic victory would require either an unforeseen national wave shifting voter turnout or a late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent that erodes the established margin. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,904終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured unopposed nomination in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district primary on March 10, 2026, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio advanced similarly on the other side. The district carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in longstanding Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ratings of solid or safe Republican territory. Traders price the Republican outcome at 93.5 percent based on this structural advantage plus Guest’s incumbency record since 2019. A Democratic victory would require either an unforeseen national wave shifting voter turnout or a late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent that erodes the established margin. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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