Mississippi's 3rd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent solid or safe ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces no primary opposition and holds substantial fundraising advantages over Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio and Libertarian Erik Kiehle ahead of the November 2026 general election. Traders price the Republican outcome at 93.5 percent because historical voting patterns, the absence of competitive challengers, and the district's central Mississippi demographics have produced repeated double-digit margins for the party since 2018. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely Republican seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,643 Vol.
$33,643 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$33,643 Vol.
$33,643 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,585 Vol.
94%
民主党
$25,059 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 3rd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent solid or safe ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces no primary opposition and holds substantial fundraising advantages over Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio and Libertarian Erik Kiehle ahead of the November 2026 general election. Traders price the Republican outcome at 93.5 percent because historical voting patterns, the absence of competitive challengers, and the district's central Mississippi demographics have produced repeated double-digit margins for the party since 2018. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely Republican seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$33,643終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 3rd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent solid or safe ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces no primary opposition and holds substantial fundraising advantages over Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio and Libertarian Erik Kiehle ahead of the November 2026 general election. Traders price the Republican outcome at 93.5 percent because historical voting patterns, the absence of competitive challengers, and the district's central Mississippi demographics have produced repeated double-digit margins for the party since 2018. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely Republican seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,643終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi's 3rd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent solid or safe ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces no primary opposition and holds substantial fundraising advantages over Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio and Libertarian Erik Kiehle ahead of the November 2026 general election. Traders price the Republican outcome at 93.5 percent because historical voting patterns, the absence of competitive challengers, and the district's central Mississippi demographics have produced repeated double-digit margins for the party since 2018. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely Republican seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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