Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against Republican Genevieve Angel, setting up a general election matchup in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. The area’s consistent D+19 partisan lean, Democratic voter registration advantage, and Barragán’s prior election margins underpin trader consensus reflected in the 97.5 percent Democratic price. No competitive polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primary to suggest movement. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national partisan swing or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent that overrides the district’s structural fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$46,613 Vol.
$46,613 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
97%
共和党
2%
$46,613 Vol.
$46,613 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$21,673 Vol.
97%
共和党
$24,940 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against Republican Genevieve Angel, setting up a general election matchup in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. The area’s consistent D+19 partisan lean, Democratic voter registration advantage, and Barragán’s prior election margins underpin trader consensus reflected in the 97.5 percent Democratic price. No competitive polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primary to suggest movement. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national partisan swing or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent that overrides the district’s structural fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
音量
$46,613終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against Republican Genevieve Angel, setting up a general election matchup in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. The area’s consistent D+19 partisan lean, Democratic voter registration advantage, and Barragán’s prior election margins underpin trader consensus reflected in the 97.5 percent Democratic price. No competitive polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primary to suggest movement. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national partisan swing or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent that overrides the district’s structural fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$46,613終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against Republican Genevieve Angel, setting up a general election matchup in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. The area’s consistent D+19 partisan lean, Democratic voter registration advantage, and Barragán’s prior election margins underpin trader consensus reflected in the 97.5 percent Democratic price. No competitive polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primary to suggest movement. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national partisan swing or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent that overrides the district’s structural fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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