California’s 44th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Nanette Barragán faces only limited Republican opposition in the June 2026 top-two primary before the November general election, with demographics centered in urban South Los Angeles and surrounding communities reinforcing party registration advantages. The current market pricing aligns with this baseline, as no major candidate controversies, redistricting shifts, or national political developments have altered the district’s fundamentals in recent weeks. A significant scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability events at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,035 Vol.
$23,035 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$23,035 Vol.
$23,035 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,854 Vol.
94%
共和党
$8,181 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 44th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Nanette Barragán faces only limited Republican opposition in the June 2026 top-two primary before the November general election, with demographics centered in urban South Los Angeles and surrounding communities reinforcing party registration advantages. The current market pricing aligns with this baseline, as no major candidate controversies, redistricting shifts, or national political developments have altered the district’s fundamentals in recent weeks. A significant scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability events at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
音量
$23,035終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 44th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Nanette Barragán faces only limited Republican opposition in the June 2026 top-two primary before the November general election, with demographics centered in urban South Los Angeles and surrounding communities reinforcing party registration advantages. The current market pricing aligns with this baseline, as no major candidate controversies, redistricting shifts, or national political developments have altered the district’s fundamentals in recent weeks. A significant scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability events at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,035終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 44th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Nanette Barragán faces only limited Republican opposition in the June 2026 top-two primary before the November general election, with demographics centered in urban South Los Angeles and surrounding communities reinforcing party registration advantages. The current market pricing aligns with this baseline, as no major candidate controversies, redistricting shifts, or national political developments have altered the district’s fundamentals in recent weeks. A significant scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability events at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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