Lou Correa, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 52% of the vote in California's 46th congressional district and faces Republican David Pan in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Correa's established record and fundraising edge, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. As a safe Democratic seat, the outcome aligns with historical patterns for incumbents in similar California districts. Only extraordinary developments, such as a major candidate-specific scandal or an unprecedented national political shift, could realistically alter the projected result before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,688 Vol.
$20,688 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$20,688 Vol.
$20,688 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$4,636 Vol.
95%
共和党
$16,051 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lou Correa, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 52% of the vote in California's 46th congressional district and faces Republican David Pan in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Correa's established record and fundraising edge, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. As a safe Democratic seat, the outcome aligns with historical patterns for incumbents in similar California districts. Only extraordinary developments, such as a major candidate-specific scandal or an unprecedented national political shift, could realistically alter the projected result before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$20,688終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lou Correa, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 52% of the vote in California's 46th congressional district and faces Republican David Pan in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Correa's established record and fundraising edge, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. As a safe Democratic seat, the outcome aligns with historical patterns for incumbents in similar California districts. Only extraordinary developments, such as a major candidate-specific scandal or an unprecedented national political shift, could realistically alter the projected result before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,688終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lou Correa, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 52% of the vote in California's 46th congressional district and faces Republican David Pan in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Correa's established record and fundraising edge, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. As a safe Democratic seat, the outcome aligns with historical patterns for incumbents in similar California districts. Only extraordinary developments, such as a major candidate-specific scandal or an unprecedented national political shift, could realistically alter the projected result before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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