The strong Democratic lean of Illinois' 1st Congressional District, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic primary uncontested in March 2026, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout primary. The district's urban South Side Chicago core and surrounding areas have delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, with no major developments since the primaries altering the structural advantage. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,362 Vol.
$40,362 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
2%
$40,362 Vol.
$40,362 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,654 Vol.
93%
共和党
$22,708 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Illinois' 1st Congressional District, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic primary uncontested in March 2026, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout primary. The district's urban South Side Chicago core and surrounding areas have delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, with no major developments since the primaries altering the structural advantage. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$40,362終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Illinois' 1st Congressional District, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic primary uncontested in March 2026, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout primary. The district's urban South Side Chicago core and surrounding areas have delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, with no major developments since the primaries altering the structural advantage. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,362終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Illinois' 1st Congressional District, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic primary uncontested in March 2026, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout primary. The district's urban South Side Chicago core and surrounding areas have delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, with no major developments since the primaries altering the structural advantage. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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