Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 12th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple nonpartisan analysts, owing to its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 74-point victory margin in 2024. Both candidates advanced unopposed from March 2026 primaries, leaving the November general election matchup between Bost and Democrat Julie Fortier largely uncontested at the nomination stage. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and consistent partisan lean in southern Illinois communities. A late national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal, or significant health development could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,276 Vol.
$18,276 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
5%
$18,276 Vol.
$18,276 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,809 Vol.
94%
民主党
$10,467 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 12th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple nonpartisan analysts, owing to its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 74-point victory margin in 2024. Both candidates advanced unopposed from March 2026 primaries, leaving the November general election matchup between Bost and Democrat Julie Fortier largely uncontested at the nomination stage. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and consistent partisan lean in southern Illinois communities. A late national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal, or significant health development could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$18,276終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 12th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple nonpartisan analysts, owing to its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 74-point victory margin in 2024. Both candidates advanced unopposed from March 2026 primaries, leaving the November general election matchup between Bost and Democrat Julie Fortier largely uncontested at the nomination stage. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and consistent partisan lean in southern Illinois communities. A late national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal, or significant health development could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,276終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 12th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple nonpartisan analysts, owing to its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 74-point victory margin in 2024. Both candidates advanced unopposed from March 2026 primaries, leaving the November general election matchup between Bost and Democrat Julie Fortier largely uncontested at the nomination stage. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and consistent partisan lean in southern Illinois communities. A late national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal, or significant health development could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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