Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and unopposed primary victory in March 2026. The southern Illinois district, encompassing rural counties and areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon, delivered Bost a 74% win in 2024, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify it as Safe or Solid Republican. Bost's substantial fundraising edge—over $1.1 million raised versus under $41,000 for Democratic nominee Julie Fortier—further reinforces the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key upcoming date. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still narrow margins, though historical patterns and structural factors limit the likelihood of an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,146 Vol.
$25,146 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・ボスト（共和党）
99%
ジュリー・フォルティエ（民主党）
2%
$25,146 Vol.
$25,146 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・ボスト（共和党）
$14,014 Vol.
99%
ジュリー・フォルティエ（民主党）
$11,132 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and unopposed primary victory in March 2026. The southern Illinois district, encompassing rural counties and areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon, delivered Bost a 74% win in 2024, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify it as Safe or Solid Republican. Bost's substantial fundraising edge—over $1.1 million raised versus under $41,000 for Democratic nominee Julie Fortier—further reinforces the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key upcoming date. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still narrow margins, though historical patterns and structural factors limit the likelihood of an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$25,146終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and unopposed primary victory in March 2026. The southern Illinois district, encompassing rural counties and areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon, delivered Bost a 74% win in 2024, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify it as Safe or Solid Republican. Bost's substantial fundraising edge—over $1.1 million raised versus under $41,000 for Democratic nominee Julie Fortier—further reinforces the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key upcoming date. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still narrow margins, though historical patterns and structural factors limit the likelihood of an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,146終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and unopposed primary victory in March 2026. The southern Illinois district, encompassing rural counties and areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon, delivered Bost a 74% win in 2024, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify it as Safe or Solid Republican. Bost's substantial fundraising edge—over $1.1 million raised versus under $41,000 for Democratic nominee Julie Fortier—further reinforces the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key upcoming date. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still narrow margins, though historical patterns and structural factors limit the likelihood of an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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