Incumbent Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 13th congressional district due to the seat’s Democratic lean, her double-digit 2024 victory margin, and consistent overperformance in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. She secured her March 2026 primary with 75 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash on hand compared to challenger Jeff Wilson’s limited resources. Wilson, the Republican nominee who won his primary, faces structural barriers in a district that includes Democratic strongholds around Springfield, Champaign-Urbana, and parts of the Metro East. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Budzinski aligns with these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could still shift probabilities, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current indicators.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,873 Vol.
$14,873 Vol.
2026/11/02
ニッキ・ブジンスキー（民主党）
95%
ジェフ・ウィルソン（共和党）
6%
$14,873 Vol.
$14,873 Vol.
2026/11/02
ニッキ・ブジンスキー（民主党）
$8,108 Vol.
95%
ジェフ・ウィルソン（共和党）
$6,766 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 13th congressional district due to the seat’s Democratic lean, her double-digit 2024 victory margin, and consistent overperformance in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. She secured her March 2026 primary with 75 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash on hand compared to challenger Jeff Wilson’s limited resources. Wilson, the Republican nominee who won his primary, faces structural barriers in a district that includes Democratic strongholds around Springfield, Champaign-Urbana, and parts of the Metro East. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Budzinski aligns with these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could still shift probabilities, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$14,873終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 13th congressional district due to the seat’s Democratic lean, her double-digit 2024 victory margin, and consistent overperformance in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. She secured her March 2026 primary with 75 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash on hand compared to challenger Jeff Wilson’s limited resources. Wilson, the Republican nominee who won his primary, faces structural barriers in a district that includes Democratic strongholds around Springfield, Champaign-Urbana, and parts of the Metro East. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Budzinski aligns with these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could still shift probabilities, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,873終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 13th congressional district due to the seat’s Democratic lean, her double-digit 2024 victory margin, and consistent overperformance in a district rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. She secured her March 2026 primary with 75 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash on hand compared to challenger Jeff Wilson’s limited resources. Wilson, the Republican nominee who won his primary, faces structural barriers in a district that includes Democratic strongholds around Springfield, Champaign-Urbana, and parts of the Metro East. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Budzinski aligns with these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could still shift probabilities, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current indicators.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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