Ashley Hinson holds a modest lead in trader consensus for Iowa’s open Senate seat, reflecting the state’s Republican tilt—evident in Donald Trump’s double-digit 2024 margin—and her advantages in fundraising and endorsements from party leaders and sheriffs. Josh Turek remains competitive due to his crossover appeal in a prior state legislative district and Democratic efforts to highlight affordability, healthcare costs, and tariffs. Recent polling shows narrow margins with some surveys favoring each candidate, while Hinson’s campaign stresses tax relief and law enforcement support amid Democratic attacks on her record. The November 3 contest stays closely watched as an open-seat battle where turnout and economic messaging could shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$323,113 Vol.
$323,113 Vol.
2026/11/02
アシュリー・ヒンソン（共和党）
56%
ジョシュ・トゥレック（民主党）
44%
$323,113 Vol.
$323,113 Vol.
2026/11/02
アシュリー・ヒンソン（共和党）
$165,929 Vol.
56%
ジョシュ・トゥレック（民主党）
$157,184 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Hinson holds a modest lead in trader consensus for Iowa’s open Senate seat, reflecting the state’s Republican tilt—evident in Donald Trump’s double-digit 2024 margin—and her advantages in fundraising and endorsements from party leaders and sheriffs. Josh Turek remains competitive due to his crossover appeal in a prior state legislative district and Democratic efforts to highlight affordability, healthcare costs, and tariffs. Recent polling shows narrow margins with some surveys favoring each candidate, while Hinson’s campaign stresses tax relief and law enforcement support amid Democratic attacks on her record. The November 3 contest stays closely watched as an open-seat battle where turnout and economic messaging could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
音量
$323,113終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Hinson holds a modest lead in trader consensus for Iowa’s open Senate seat, reflecting the state’s Republican tilt—evident in Donald Trump’s double-digit 2024 margin—and her advantages in fundraising and endorsements from party leaders and sheriffs. Josh Turek remains competitive due to his crossover appeal in a prior state legislative district and Democratic efforts to highlight affordability, healthcare costs, and tariffs. Recent polling shows narrow margins with some surveys favoring each candidate, while Hinson’s campaign stresses tax relief and law enforcement support amid Democratic attacks on her record. The November 3 contest stays closely watched as an open-seat battle where turnout and economic messaging could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$323,113終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Hinson holds a modest lead in trader consensus for Iowa’s open Senate seat, reflecting the state’s Republican tilt—evident in Donald Trump’s double-digit 2024 margin—and her advantages in fundraising and endorsements from party leaders and sheriffs. Josh Turek remains competitive due to his crossover appeal in a prior state legislative district and Democratic efforts to highlight affordability, healthcare costs, and tariffs. Recent polling shows narrow margins with some surveys favoring each candidate, while Hinson’s campaign stresses tax relief and law enforcement support amid Democratic attacks on her record. The November 3 contest stays closely watched as an open-seat battle where turnout and economic messaging could shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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