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icon for ネブラスカ州上院選挙の勝者
政治·中間選考

ネブラスカ州上院選挙の勝者

icon for ネブラスカ州上院選挙の勝者
政治·中間選考

ネブラスカ州上院選挙の勝者

共和党 58%

無所属 40%

民主党 2.6%

Polymarket

$132,891 Vol.

共和党 58%

無所属 40%

民主党 2.6%

Polymarket

$132,891 Vol.

icon for 共和党

共和党

$51,206 Vol.

58%

icon for 無所属

無所属

$6,469 Vol.

40%

icon for 民主党

民主党

$75,223 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the May 2026 primary, reinforcing his position in a state with consistent Republican Senate dominance. Independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader and Navy veteran who came within single digits of victory in 2024, has drawn Democratic Party backing and endorsements after the Democratic primary winner signaled plans to exit the general ballot. Recent May polling shows the Ricketts-Osborn contest within single digits or statistically tied, reflecting Osborn's blue-collar appeal and grassroots support amid Nebraska's electoral math. These dynamics sustain trader consensus favoring the Republican at 58 percent while assigning the independent a substantial 40 percent share, with the Democratic nominee at just 2.6 percent.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$132,891
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the May 2026 primary, reinforcing his position in a state with consistent Republican Senate dominance. Independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader and Navy veteran who came within single digits of victory in 2024, has drawn Democratic Party backing and endorsements after the Democratic primary winner signaled plans to exit the general ballot. Recent May polling shows the Ricketts-Osborn contest within single digits or statistically tied, reflecting Osborn's blue-collar appeal and grassroots support amid Nebraska's electoral math. These dynamics sustain trader consensus favoring the Republican at 58 percent while assigning the independent a substantial 40 percent share, with the Democratic nominee at just 2.6 percent.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$132,891
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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よくある質問

「ネブラスカ州上院選挙の勝者 」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「共和党」で58%、次いで「無所属」が40%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、58¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に58%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ネブラスカ州上院選挙の勝者 」は$132.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Oct 13, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ネブラスカ州上院選挙の勝者 」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ネブラスカ州上院選挙の勝者 」の現在のフロントランナーは「共和党」で58%であり、市場がこの結果に58%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「無所属」で40%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ネブラスカ州上院選挙の勝者 」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。