Republican incumbent Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary, reinforcing trader consensus around the Republican outcome in a state with a strong Republican voting history. Independent Dan Osborn, returning after a narrower-than-expected 2024 performance, has drawn Democratic primary winner Cindy Burbank's expected withdrawal from the general ballot, which consolidates non-Republican support behind the independent bid. Recent polling shows mixed results with some surveys indicating a competitive contest, while the Democrat share remains marginal amid limited infrastructure and the strategic shift. Upcoming campaign developments through November 2026 could still influence positioning ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日共和党 59%
無所属 40%
民主党 2.6%
$132,891 Vol.
$132,891 Vol.

共和党
59%

無所属
40%

民主党
3%
共和党 59%
無所属 40%
民主党 2.6%
$132,891 Vol.
$132,891 Vol.

共和党
59%

無所属
40%

民主党
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary, reinforcing trader consensus around the Republican outcome in a state with a strong Republican voting history. Independent Dan Osborn, returning after a narrower-than-expected 2024 performance, has drawn Democratic primary winner Cindy Burbank's expected withdrawal from the general ballot, which consolidates non-Republican support behind the independent bid. Recent polling shows mixed results with some surveys indicating a competitive contest, while the Democrat share remains marginal amid limited infrastructure and the strategic shift. Upcoming campaign developments through November 2026 could still influence positioning ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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