Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts seeks his first full term in the 2026 Nebraska Senate race against independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader running on a populist platform. The Democratic nominee withdrew in mid-July after reviewing unfavorable numbers, leaving no viable major-party challenger and driving the implied probability for a Democrat to near zero. Nebraska’s Republican lean and Ricketts’s incumbency provide structural advantages reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome, though recent polling has shown Osborn remaining within striking distance in head-to-head matchups. The race remains more than a year from Election Day, with fundraising, turnout among blue-collar voters, and any late shifts in independent support among the key variables that could still alter positioning before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日共和党 71%
無所属 25%
民主党 <1%
$184,394 Vol.
$184,394 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
71%
無所属
25%
民主党
<1%
共和党 71%
無所属 25%
民主党 <1%
$184,394 Vol.
$184,394 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$76,448 Vol.
71%
無所属
$21,325 Vol.
25%
民主党
$86,621 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts seeks his first full term in the 2026 Nebraska Senate race against independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader running on a populist platform. The Democratic nominee withdrew in mid-July after reviewing unfavorable numbers, leaving no viable major-party challenger and driving the implied probability for a Democrat to near zero. Nebraska’s Republican lean and Ricketts’s incumbency provide structural advantages reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome, though recent polling has shown Osborn remaining within striking distance in head-to-head matchups. The race remains more than a year from Election Day, with fundraising, turnout among blue-collar voters, and any late shifts in independent support among the key variables that could still alter positioning before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
音量
$184,394終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts seeks his first full term in the 2026 Nebraska Senate race against independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader running on a populist platform. The Democratic nominee withdrew in mid-July after reviewing unfavorable numbers, leaving no viable major-party challenger and driving the implied probability for a Democrat to near zero. Nebraska’s Republican lean and Ricketts’s incumbency provide structural advantages reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome, though recent polling has shown Osborn remaining within striking distance in head-to-head matchups. The race remains more than a year from Election Day, with fundraising, turnout among blue-collar voters, and any late shifts in independent support among the key variables that could still alter positioning before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$184,394終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts seeks his first full term in the 2026 Nebraska Senate race against independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader running on a populist platform. The Democratic nominee withdrew in mid-July after reviewing unfavorable numbers, leaving no viable major-party challenger and driving the implied probability for a Democrat to near zero. Nebraska’s Republican lean and Ricketts’s incumbency provide structural advantages reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome, though recent polling has shown Osborn remaining within striking distance in head-to-head matchups. The race remains more than a year from Election Day, with fundraising, turnout among blue-collar voters, and any late shifts in independent support among the key variables that could still alter positioning before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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