Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper benefits from Colorado’s consistent Democratic lean in federal races, his statewide name recognition, and multiple prior victories. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s voter registration edge and recent election results. The Republican nominee, state Sen. Mark Baisley, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and turnout that keep implied probabilities for a GOP win low. The June 30 Democratic primary between Hickenlooper and challenger Julie Gonzales introduces limited uncertainty over messaging and base mobilization, yet the general-election environment strongly favors the Democratic nominee. Only a major national shift or unforeseen scandal would realistically alter the current trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,502 Vol.
$35,502 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
$35,502 Vol.
$35,502 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,463 Vol.
92%
共和党
$27,039 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper benefits from Colorado’s consistent Democratic lean in federal races, his statewide name recognition, and multiple prior victories. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s voter registration edge and recent election results. The Republican nominee, state Sen. Mark Baisley, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and turnout that keep implied probabilities for a GOP win low. The June 30 Democratic primary between Hickenlooper and challenger Julie Gonzales introduces limited uncertainty over messaging and base mobilization, yet the general-election environment strongly favors the Democratic nominee. Only a major national shift or unforeseen scandal would realistically alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$35,502終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper benefits from Colorado’s consistent Democratic lean in federal races, his statewide name recognition, and multiple prior victories. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s voter registration edge and recent election results. The Republican nominee, state Sen. Mark Baisley, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and turnout that keep implied probabilities for a GOP win low. The June 30 Democratic primary between Hickenlooper and challenger Julie Gonzales introduces limited uncertainty over messaging and base mobilization, yet the general-election environment strongly favors the Democratic nominee. Only a major national shift or unforeseen scandal would realistically alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$35,502終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper benefits from Colorado’s consistent Democratic lean in federal races, his statewide name recognition, and multiple prior victories. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s voter registration edge and recent election results. The Republican nominee, state Sen. Mark Baisley, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and turnout that keep implied probabilities for a GOP win low. The June 30 Democratic primary between Hickenlooper and challenger Julie Gonzales introduces limited uncertainty over messaging and base mobilization, yet the general-election environment strongly favors the Democratic nominee. Only a major national shift or unforeseen scandal would realistically alter the current trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問