The open U.S. Senate seat in Minnesota, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, features a Democratic primary on August 11 between Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, both of whom lead early general election polling against Republican primary contenders including Michele Tafoya. Major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 contest Likely Democratic, reflecting the state's partisan lean, recent Senate voting patterns, and limited high-profile Republican challengers. Trader consensus around a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and current polling margins, though the August primary results and subsequent general election campaign could still influence final positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,073 Vol.
$25,073 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
90%
共和党
11%
$25,073 Vol.
$25,073 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,119 Vol.
90%
共和党
$7,955 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Minnesota, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, features a Democratic primary on August 11 between Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, both of whom lead early general election polling against Republican primary contenders including Michele Tafoya. Major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 contest Likely Democratic, reflecting the state's partisan lean, recent Senate voting patterns, and limited high-profile Republican challengers. Trader consensus around a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and current polling margins, though the August primary results and subsequent general election campaign could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$25,073終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Minnesota, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, features a Democratic primary on August 11 between Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, both of whom lead early general election polling against Republican primary contenders including Michele Tafoya. Major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 contest Likely Democratic, reflecting the state's partisan lean, recent Senate voting patterns, and limited high-profile Republican challengers. Trader consensus around a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and current polling margins, though the August primary results and subsequent general election campaign could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$25,073終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open U.S. Senate seat in Minnesota, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, features a Democratic primary on August 11 between Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, both of whom lead early general election polling against Republican primary contenders including Michele Tafoya. Major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 contest Likely Democratic, reflecting the state's partisan lean, recent Senate voting patterns, and limited high-profile Republican challengers. Trader consensus around a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and current polling margins, though the August primary results and subsequent general election campaign could still influence final positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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