Minnesota's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Tina Smith, remains strongly positioned for the party due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal races, including double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, reflecting robust primary contenders such as Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig, who lead in endorsements and polling against a Republican field headed by Michele Tafoya. Trader consensus at roughly 90% for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural advantages and limited GOP competitiveness. A national Republican surge, primary surprises elevating a stronger challenger, or late shifts in voter priorities on key issues could narrow the gap before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,178 Vol.
$25,178 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
91%
共和党
11%
$25,178 Vol.
$25,178 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,200 Vol.
91%
共和党
$7,977 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Tina Smith, remains strongly positioned for the party due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal races, including double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, reflecting robust primary contenders such as Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig, who lead in endorsements and polling against a Republican field headed by Michele Tafoya. Trader consensus at roughly 90% for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural advantages and limited GOP competitiveness. A national Republican surge, primary surprises elevating a stronger challenger, or late shifts in voter priorities on key issues could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$25,178終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Tina Smith, remains strongly positioned for the party due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal races, including double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, reflecting robust primary contenders such as Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig, who lead in endorsements and polling against a Republican field headed by Michele Tafoya. Trader consensus at roughly 90% for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural advantages and limited GOP competitiveness. A national Republican surge, primary surprises elevating a stronger challenger, or late shifts in voter priorities on key issues could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$25,178終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Tina Smith, remains strongly positioned for the party due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal races, including double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, reflecting robust primary contenders such as Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig, who lead in endorsements and polling against a Republican field headed by Michele Tafoya. Trader consensus at roughly 90% for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural advantages and limited GOP competitiveness. A national Republican surge, primary surprises elevating a stronger challenger, or late shifts in voter priorities on key issues could narrow the gap before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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