Minnesota's structural Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent statewide voting patterns in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner at 89.5 percent. The open seat created by incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has drawn established Democratic contenders including Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, who lead Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by 6 to 7 points in early 2026 general election polling. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's organizational edge and the limited profile of the Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,052 Vol.
$25,052 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
90%
共和党
11%
$25,052 Vol.
$25,052 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,097 Vol.
90%
共和党
$7,955 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's structural Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent statewide voting patterns in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner at 89.5 percent. The open seat created by incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has drawn established Democratic contenders including Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, who lead Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by 6 to 7 points in early 2026 general election polling. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's organizational edge and the limited profile of the Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$25,052終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's structural Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent statewide voting patterns in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner at 89.5 percent. The open seat created by incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has drawn established Democratic contenders including Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, who lead Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by 6 to 7 points in early 2026 general election polling. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's organizational edge and the limited profile of the Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$25,052終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's structural Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent statewide voting patterns in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner at 89.5 percent. The open seat created by incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has drawn established Democratic contenders including Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, who lead Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by 6 to 7 points in early 2026 general election polling. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's organizational edge and the limited profile of the Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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