Minnesota's consistent Democratic performance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring Peggy Flanagan in the race for the open Senate seat. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2002, and recent polling averages show Flanagan holding a modest lead over Michele Tafoya in the low-to-mid 40s to high 40s range. Flanagan's decisive August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, combined with her profile as lieutenant governor and progressive positioning on key issues, has reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold. Tafoya's campaign has focused on linking Flanagan to state welfare fraud concerns, which some surveys indicate can narrow the gap to near statistical ties, though broader fundamentals have limited movement so far. Late developments such as major scandals, shifts in turnout among independents or key demographics, or national political events could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$69,074 Vol.
$69,074 Vol.
2026/11/02
ペギー・フラナガン（民主党）
92%
ミシェル・タフォヤ（共和党）
9%
$69,074 Vol.
$69,074 Vol.
2026/11/02
ペギー・フラナガン（民主党）
$50,049 Vol.
92%
ミシェル・タフォヤ（共和党）
$19,025 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's consistent Democratic performance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring Peggy Flanagan in the race for the open Senate seat. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2002, and recent polling averages show Flanagan holding a modest lead over Michele Tafoya in the low-to-mid 40s to high 40s range. Flanagan's decisive August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, combined with her profile as lieutenant governor and progressive positioning on key issues, has reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold. Tafoya's campaign has focused on linking Flanagan to state welfare fraud concerns, which some surveys indicate can narrow the gap to near statistical ties, though broader fundamentals have limited movement so far. Late developments such as major scandals, shifts in turnout among independents or key demographics, or national political events could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$69,074終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's consistent Democratic performance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring Peggy Flanagan in the race for the open Senate seat. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2002, and recent polling averages show Flanagan holding a modest lead over Michele Tafoya in the low-to-mid 40s to high 40s range. Flanagan's decisive August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, combined with her profile as lieutenant governor and progressive positioning on key issues, has reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold. Tafoya's campaign has focused on linking Flanagan to state welfare fraud concerns, which some surveys indicate can narrow the gap to near statistical ties, though broader fundamentals have limited movement so far. Late developments such as major scandals, shifts in turnout among independents or key demographics, or national political events could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$69,074終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's consistent Democratic performance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring Peggy Flanagan in the race for the open Senate seat. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2002, and recent polling averages show Flanagan holding a modest lead over Michele Tafoya in the low-to-mid 40s to high 40s range. Flanagan's decisive August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, combined with her profile as lieutenant governor and progressive positioning on key issues, has reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold. Tafoya's campaign has focused on linking Flanagan to state welfare fraud concerns, which some surveys indicate can narrow the gap to near statistical ties, though broader fundamentals have limited movement so far. Late developments such as major scandals, shifts in turnout among independents or key demographics, or national political events could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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