Washington’s 9th congressional district has maintained a consistent Democratic lean through multiple cycles, anchored by its suburban Seattle and South King County voter base that delivered the incumbent 65 percent support in 2024. Adam Smith’s long tenure, substantial fundraising edge, and lack of credible Republican challengers at this stage underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November 2026. The August top-two primary offers the main near-term test, yet early filings show limited opposition. Shifts could still emerge from an unanticipated scandal, significant redistricting, or an unusually strong national Republican environment that narrows the margin enough to alter the outcome in a low-turnout contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日WA-09 House Election Winner
WA-09 House Election Winner
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
$3,021 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$6,388 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 9th congressional district has maintained a consistent Democratic lean through multiple cycles, anchored by its suburban Seattle and South King County voter base that delivered the incumbent 65 percent support in 2024. Adam Smith’s long tenure, substantial fundraising edge, and lack of credible Republican challengers at this stage underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November 2026. The August top-two primary offers the main near-term test, yet early filings show limited opposition. Shifts could still emerge from an unanticipated scandal, significant redistricting, or an unusually strong national Republican environment that narrows the margin enough to alter the outcome in a low-turnout contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$9,409終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 9th congressional district has maintained a consistent Democratic lean through multiple cycles, anchored by its suburban Seattle and South King County voter base that delivered the incumbent 65 percent support in 2024. Adam Smith’s long tenure, substantial fundraising edge, and lack of credible Republican challengers at this stage underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November 2026. The August top-two primary offers the main near-term test, yet early filings show limited opposition. Shifts could still emerge from an unanticipated scandal, significant redistricting, or an unusually strong national Republican environment that narrows the margin enough to alter the outcome in a low-turnout contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,409終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 9th congressional district has maintained a consistent Democratic lean through multiple cycles, anchored by its suburban Seattle and South King County voter base that delivered the incumbent 65 percent support in 2024. Adam Smith’s long tenure, substantial fundraising edge, and lack of credible Republican challengers at this stage underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November 2026. The August top-two primary offers the main near-term test, yet early filings show limited opposition. Shifts could still emerge from an unanticipated scandal, significant redistricting, or an unusually strong national Republican environment that narrows the margin enough to alter the outcome in a low-turnout contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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