Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters and a D+22 partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, serving since 1997, advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 50% of the vote against Republican Doug Basler, as multiple left-leaning challengers split opposition support. This structural advantage and incumbency record underpin the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or significant national partisan shift could realistically alter the outcome in the remaining period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$50,877 Vol.
$50,877 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
2%
$50,877 Vol.
$50,877 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$11,595 Vol.
95%
共和党
$39,282 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters and a D+22 partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, serving since 1997, advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 50% of the vote against Republican Doug Basler, as multiple left-leaning challengers split opposition support. This structural advantage and incumbency record underpin the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or significant national partisan shift could realistically alter the outcome in the remaining period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$50,877終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters and a D+22 partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, serving since 1997, advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 50% of the vote against Republican Doug Basler, as multiple left-leaning challengers split opposition support. This structural advantage and incumbency record underpin the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or significant national partisan shift could realistically alter the outcome in the remaining period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$50,877終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters and a D+22 partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, serving since 1997, advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 50% of the vote against Republican Doug Basler, as multiple left-leaning challengers split opposition support. This structural advantage and incumbency record underpin the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or significant national partisan shift could realistically alter the outcome in the remaining period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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