Umaru Dikko Radda holds an 80% implied probability in the Katsina gubernatorial market primarily due to his status as the APC incumbent and the party's recent unanimous consensus affirmation of his 2027 nomination on August 29. This followed earlier delegate endorsements and the receipt of INEC nomination forms, reflecting strong internal party unity across Katsina's 34 local government areas. Garba Yakubu Lado, the PDP consensus nominee who won his party's primary with over 77,000 votes, sits at 11% amid limited opposition momentum. Multiple other listed aspirants remain at lower probabilities pending further primary outcomes or defections. Traders are pricing in Radda's advantages from incumbency, APC organizational strength in the state, and recent grassroots mobilization efforts ahead of the February 2027 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,376 Vol.
$14,376 Vol.
2027/02/06
ウマル・ディッコ・ラッダ
80%
ガルバ・ヤクブ・ラド
11%
$14,376 Vol.
$14,376 Vol.
2027/02/06
ウマル・ディッコ・ラッダ
$6,724 Vol.
80%
ガルバ・ヤクブ・ラド
$7,652 Vol.
11%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Umaru Dikko Radda holds an 80% implied probability in the Katsina gubernatorial market primarily due to his status as the APC incumbent and the party's recent unanimous consensus affirmation of his 2027 nomination on August 29. This followed earlier delegate endorsements and the receipt of INEC nomination forms, reflecting strong internal party unity across Katsina's 34 local government areas. Garba Yakubu Lado, the PDP consensus nominee who won his party's primary with over 77,000 votes, sits at 11% amid limited opposition momentum. Multiple other listed aspirants remain at lower probabilities pending further primary outcomes or defections. Traders are pricing in Radda's advantages from incumbency, APC organizational strength in the state, and recent grassroots mobilization efforts ahead of the February 2027 vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
音量
$14,376終了日
2027/02/06マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Umaru Dikko Radda holds an 80% implied probability in the Katsina gubernatorial market primarily due to his status as the APC incumbent and the party's recent unanimous consensus affirmation of his 2027 nomination on August 29. This followed earlier delegate endorsements and the receipt of INEC nomination forms, reflecting strong internal party unity across Katsina's 34 local government areas. Garba Yakubu Lado, the PDP consensus nominee who won his party's primary with over 77,000 votes, sits at 11% amid limited opposition momentum. Multiple other listed aspirants remain at lower probabilities pending further primary outcomes or defections. Traders are pricing in Radda's advantages from incumbency, APC organizational strength in the state, and recent grassroots mobilization efforts ahead of the February 2027 vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
音量
$14,376終了日
2027/02/06マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Umaru Dikko Radda holds an 80% implied probability in the Katsina gubernatorial market primarily due to his status as the APC incumbent and the party's recent unanimous consensus affirmation of his 2027 nomination on August 29. This followed earlier delegate endorsements and the receipt of INEC nomination forms, reflecting strong internal party unity across Katsina's 34 local government areas. Garba Yakubu Lado, the PDP consensus nominee who won his party's primary with over 77,000 votes, sits at 11% amid limited opposition momentum. Multiple other listed aspirants remain at lower probabilities pending further primary outcomes or defections. Traders are pricing in Radda's advantages from incumbency, APC organizational strength in the state, and recent grassroots mobilization efforts ahead of the February 2027 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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