Washington's 10th congressional district has long shown strong Democratic performance in House races, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Incumbent Marilyn Strickland advanced comfortably from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary ahead of Republican Chris Chung and a second Democratic candidate, underscoring limited GOP inroads in this Olympia-Tacoma area district. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, including consistent past margins and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring the challenger. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal affecting Strickland, or significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs could narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns and current positioning indicate such developments would need substantial momentum to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,095 Vol.
$20,095 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$20,095 Vol.
$20,095 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,727 Vol.
94%
共和党
$8,368 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 10th congressional district has long shown strong Democratic performance in House races, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Incumbent Marilyn Strickland advanced comfortably from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary ahead of Republican Chris Chung and a second Democratic candidate, underscoring limited GOP inroads in this Olympia-Tacoma area district. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, including consistent past margins and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring the challenger. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal affecting Strickland, or significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs could narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns and current positioning indicate such developments would need substantial momentum to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$20,095終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 10th congressional district has long shown strong Democratic performance in House races, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Incumbent Marilyn Strickland advanced comfortably from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary ahead of Republican Chris Chung and a second Democratic candidate, underscoring limited GOP inroads in this Olympia-Tacoma area district. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, including consistent past margins and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring the challenger. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal affecting Strickland, or significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs could narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns and current positioning indicate such developments would need substantial momentum to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,095終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 10th congressional district has long shown strong Democratic performance in House races, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Incumbent Marilyn Strickland advanced comfortably from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary ahead of Republican Chris Chung and a second Democratic candidate, underscoring limited GOP inroads in this Olympia-Tacoma area district. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, including consistent past margins and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring the challenger. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal affecting Strickland, or significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs could narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns and current positioning indicate such developments would need substantial momentum to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問