Marilyn Strickland, the Democratic incumbent in Washington’s 10th congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the 2026 House election due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Washington’s top-two primary system on August 4, 2026, features multiple Democratic entrants alongside a single notable Republican challenger, but the district’s voting patterns and the incumbent’s established position have kept Republican win probabilities low. Forecasters cite limited recent shifts in local polling or campaign dynamics that would alter this outlook ahead of the November general election. A significant national political realignment or unusually strong Republican performance in the primary could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to favor Democratic retention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,046 Vol.
$13,046 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$13,046 Vol.
$13,046 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,778 Vol.
94%
共和党
$3,267 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marilyn Strickland, the Democratic incumbent in Washington’s 10th congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the 2026 House election due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Washington’s top-two primary system on August 4, 2026, features multiple Democratic entrants alongside a single notable Republican challenger, but the district’s voting patterns and the incumbent’s established position have kept Republican win probabilities low. Forecasters cite limited recent shifts in local polling or campaign dynamics that would alter this outlook ahead of the November general election. A significant national political realignment or unusually strong Republican performance in the primary could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to favor Democratic retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$13,046終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marilyn Strickland, the Democratic incumbent in Washington’s 10th congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the 2026 House election due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Washington’s top-two primary system on August 4, 2026, features multiple Democratic entrants alongside a single notable Republican challenger, but the district’s voting patterns and the incumbent’s established position have kept Republican win probabilities low. Forecasters cite limited recent shifts in local polling or campaign dynamics that would alter this outlook ahead of the November general election. A significant national political realignment or unusually strong Republican performance in the primary could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to favor Democratic retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,046終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Marilyn Strickland, the Democratic incumbent in Washington’s 10th congressional district, maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the 2026 House election due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Washington’s top-two primary system on August 4, 2026, features multiple Democratic entrants alongside a single notable Republican challenger, but the district’s voting patterns and the incumbent’s established position have kept Republican win probabilities low. Forecasters cite limited recent shifts in local polling or campaign dynamics that would alter this outlook ahead of the November general election. A significant national political realignment or unusually strong Republican performance in the primary could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to favor Democratic retention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問