Massachusetts's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+50 partisan voting index and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Richard Neal, first elected in 1988 and currently ranking Democrat on the Ways and Means Committee, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 2026 primary, while general election opponents remain limited. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic based on historical turnout patterns and the district's western Massachusetts demographics. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected primary upset or unusually strong independent campaign could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,958 Vol.
$12,958 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$12,958 Vol.
$12,958 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,946 Vol.
94%
共和党
$5,012 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+50 partisan voting index and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Richard Neal, first elected in 1988 and currently ranking Democrat on the Ways and Means Committee, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 2026 primary, while general election opponents remain limited. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic based on historical turnout patterns and the district's western Massachusetts demographics. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected primary upset or unusually strong independent campaign could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$12,958終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+50 partisan voting index and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Richard Neal, first elected in 1988 and currently ranking Democrat on the Ways and Means Committee, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 2026 primary, while general election opponents remain limited. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic based on historical turnout patterns and the district's western Massachusetts demographics. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected primary upset or unusually strong independent campaign could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,958終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+50 partisan voting index and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Richard Neal, first elected in 1988 and currently ranking Democrat on the Ways and Means Committee, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the September 2026 primary, while general election opponents remain limited. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic based on historical turnout patterns and the district's western Massachusetts demographics. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected primary upset or unusually strong independent campaign could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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