Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern’s May 2026 reelection announcement and the district’s consistent D+13 Partisan Voter Index underpin the 94.5% Democratic consensus in this Massachusetts House race. The seat has remained safely Democratic for decades, with McGovern facing minimal primary opposition and no well-funded Republican challenger emerging ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries or the November 3 general election. Historical turnout patterns and limited statewide Republican infrastructure further reinforce trader pricing. A credible GOP candidate with substantial fundraising or a major scandal involving the incumbent could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability developments given current candidate filings and district fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,121 Vol.
$45,121 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$45,121 Vol.
$45,121 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$32,718 Vol.
95%
共和党
$12,403 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern’s May 2026 reelection announcement and the district’s consistent D+13 Partisan Voter Index underpin the 94.5% Democratic consensus in this Massachusetts House race. The seat has remained safely Democratic for decades, with McGovern facing minimal primary opposition and no well-funded Republican challenger emerging ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries or the November 3 general election. Historical turnout patterns and limited statewide Republican infrastructure further reinforce trader pricing. A credible GOP candidate with substantial fundraising or a major scandal involving the incumbent could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability developments given current candidate filings and district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$45,121終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern’s May 2026 reelection announcement and the district’s consistent D+13 Partisan Voter Index underpin the 94.5% Democratic consensus in this Massachusetts House race. The seat has remained safely Democratic for decades, with McGovern facing minimal primary opposition and no well-funded Republican challenger emerging ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries or the November 3 general election. Historical turnout patterns and limited statewide Republican infrastructure further reinforce trader pricing. A credible GOP candidate with substantial fundraising or a major scandal involving the incumbent could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability developments given current candidate filings and district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,121終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern’s May 2026 reelection announcement and the district’s consistent D+13 Partisan Voter Index underpin the 94.5% Democratic consensus in this Massachusetts House race. The seat has remained safely Democratic for decades, with McGovern facing minimal primary opposition and no well-funded Republican challenger emerging ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries or the November 3 general election. Historical turnout patterns and limited statewide Republican infrastructure further reinforce trader pricing. A credible GOP candidate with substantial fundraising or a major scandal involving the incumbent could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability developments given current candidate filings and district fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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