Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and central Massachusetts electorate, including Worcester. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern secured 68.6 percent in 2024 and faces limited organized opposition ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and fundraising leads. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes could shift if an unusually strong Republican nominee emerges, turnout patterns change dramatically, or national political conditions produce an unforeseen swing in this reliably blue district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$41,995 Vol.
$41,995 Vol.
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$41,995 Vol.
$41,995 Vol.
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and central Massachusetts electorate, including Worcester. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern secured 68.6 percent in 2024 and faces limited organized opposition ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and fundraising leads. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes could shift if an unusually strong Republican nominee emerges, turnout patterns change dramatically, or national political conditions produce an unforeseen swing in this reliably blue district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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